New Zealand Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 69

BMI View: Growth in New Zealand's small construction industry should moderate over the next decade as

the Christchurch rebuilding slows from its peak and an inflated housing market presents downside risks.

However, we have increased our outlook for 2016 and 2017 given strong activity in residential construction

and transport infrastructure. Meanwhile, energy and utilities will require capacity expansion and social

infrastructure is providing several PPP opportunities.

Forecasts and Latest Updates

? After good growth in the previous decade, the construction industry will moderate out to 2025, once

construction mellows amid economic pressures and a cooling housing market.

? Nevertheless, we have revised upwards our outlook for sector growth in 2016 and 2017 to reflect the

robust level of residential construction nationwide.

? Rebuilding Christchurch after the 2010-2011 earthquakes will continue to contribute favourably to our

total industry value and growth over the medium term, but rebuilding may have peaked in 2015.

? The Auckland Unitary Plan has been approved and will define urban expansion in the capital until 2030,

with residential construction and transport infrastructure set to gain.

? The road sector is seeing heightened levels of activity, with several major awards coming in 2015 and

2016, while airports in Auckland and Wellington are planning significant upgrade projects.

? The energy and utilities infrastructure sector remains quiet, but a forecast need for energy capacity

expansion in the medium term presents a possible avenue for development.

New Zealand Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (New Zealand 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (New Zealand) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 10
Latest Developments 10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (New Zealand 2015-2025) 10
Structural Trends 11
Table: Government Asset Sales (2012-2014) - Estimates & Actual Returns 18
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 19
Latest Developments 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Competitiveness Of New Zealand's Infrastructure 20
Table: Major Projects - Transport 27
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 30
Latest Developments 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities 34
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview 36
Latest Developments 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Christchurch - Status Of Infrastructure Repair Work 37
Table: Major Projects - Construction and Social Infrastructure 45
Industry Risk/Reward Índex 47
New Zealand - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 47
Rewards 47
Risks 48
Asia Infrastructure RRI: Muted Outlook Ahead 49
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 54
Market Overview 55
Competitive Landscape 55
Table: EQS 55
Company Profile 57
Fletcher Building 57
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Sector-Specific Methodology 68
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

List of Tables

Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (New Zealand 2015-2025)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (New Zealand)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (New Zealand 2015-2025)
Table: Government Asset Sales (2012-2014) - Estimates & Actual Returns
Table: Competitiveness Of New Zealand's Infrastructure
Table: Major Projects - Transport
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
Table: Christchurch - Status Of Infrastructure Repair Work
Table: Major Projects - Construction and Social Infrastructure
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: EQS
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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