Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 50

BMI View: Namibia's weak domestic manufacturing capabilities and strong colonial ties with South Africa

will ensure the country continues to import the majority of its pharmaceutical needs over the coming years.

Despite a relatively attractive business environment, multinational drugmakers will continue to use South

Africa as the main channel trough which medicines are imported into the country, and will be unlikely to

establish a direct manufacturing presence. Local production of antiretroviral medicines will give a small

boost to the country's limited export potential.

Headline Expenditure Forecasts

- Pharmaceuticals: NAD2.34bn (USD183mn) in 2015 to NAD2.54bn (USD165mn) in 2016; +8.6% in

local currency and -10.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast virtually unchanged from last quarter.

- Healthcare: NAD14.3bn (USD1.12bn) in 2015 to NAD15.7bn (USD1.0bn) in 2016; +9.8% in local

currency and -9.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms revised slightly upwards from last

quarter.

Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 12
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 14
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 16
Namibia Risk/Reward Index 24
Rewards 24
Risks 24
Regulatory Review 26
Pharmaceutical Distribution 28
Market Overview 29
Healthcare Sector 30
Research & Development 33
Epidemiology 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Demographic Forecast 39
Demographic Outlook 39
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025) 42
Glossary 44
Methodology 46
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Notes On Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Index Overview 49
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Indicator Weightings 50

List of Tables

Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2020)
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020)
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020)
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020)
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators
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