Namibia Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 38

BMI View: Namibia's construction industry will record positive growth throughout our forecast period as

the government directs significant expenditure towards the development of key infrastructure. The largest

expansion will come over the first half of our forecast period, after which real growth is expected to slow.

Weighing on the potential of the sector is the lack of substantial private investment into major infrastructure

projects.

Forecast & Industry Developments

? We continue to forecast 10.7% real growth in 2016 as the government directs substantial spending -

around 50% of total non-interest expenditure of the FY2016/17 budget - towards infrastructure

development, particularly in the transport and utilities sectors to improve the overall ease of doing

business in the country.

• The Namibian government is eager to harness the public-private partnership (PPP) model to encourage

much-needed private investment into its construction industry. It has used the model to attract financing

into power and water projects, and is reportedly drafting a PPP Bill to be ready by the end of 2016, to

provide improved clarity around project financing options.

Namibia Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Namibia 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Namibia 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Namibia 2016-2025) 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 21
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 22
Table: SSA RRI 30
Methodology 31
Industry Forecast Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 36
Sector-Specific Methodology 37
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 37
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 38

List of Tables

Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Namibia 2016-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Namibia 2016)
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Namibia 2016-2025)
Table: SSA RRI
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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