Mozambique Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 53

BMI View: Growth across all of the Mozambican freight modes will be relatively healthy in 2016, which

offers welcome news amid the overall downturn in the domestic economy. While on the one hand we caution

that the Mozambican government's decision not to honour a USD178mn interest repayment, due in late

May, heralds several years of economic malaise over our medium-term outlook, increased Chinese

investment in infrastructure projects should help maintain a steady rate of growth in Mozambique's freight

industry.

Key Updates And Forecasts

? Investor sentiment towards Mozambique saw a sharp decline in April after the government admitted to an

additional USD1.4bn in debt that had been kept hidden from investors and the IMF. This has only been

exacerbated by the worsening conflict between the government and RENAMO, a militia-cum-political

party that returned to arms against the ruling party in 2013. This climate will offer little to investors

looking to put their money in sectors requiring substantial government involvement. For instance, we

believe the infrastructure sector will perform poorly as potential investors remain cautious towards doing

business with a government that has such a poor fiscal record and is in the midst of a civil war.

? The next five years will see minimal levels of investment into any projects requiring public sector

support, increased borrowing costs, and escalating political risk. Beyond 2021, the outlook will improve

significantly as we still expect projects in the gas sector to progress.

Mozambique Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020) 6
SWOT 7
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 8
Trade Forecast 8
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020) 11
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mozambique 2013-2020) 11
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2012), USDmn 12
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2012), USDmn 13
Road Freight Forecast 14
Table: Road Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020) 19
Rail Freight Forecast 20
Table: Rail Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020) 25
Air Freight Forecast 26
Table: Air Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020) 30
Shipping Forecast 31
Table: Major Ports Data (Mozambique 2013-2020) 35
Market Overview 36
Company Profile 41
LAM Cargo 41
Portos e Caminhos de Ferro de Moçambique 43
Demographic Forecast 45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 46
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 46
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Sources 53

List of Tables

Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2012), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2012), USDmn
Table: Road Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Rail Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Major Ports Data (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
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