Mongolia Mining Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 07-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 65

BMI View: Mongolia's mining sector growth will accelerate on the back of foreign mining investment, a

robust infrastructure framework and the country's strategic close proximity to major export markets such as

China. Projects such as Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi mine will significantly increase the country's mining output

over the coming years.

Latest Developments & Trends

? In May 2016, Rio Tinto and its subsidiary Turquoise Hill announced the final and formal approval for

the expansion of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mining project, which will cost a total of USD5.3bn-

400mn more than initially expected. In December 2015, Rio Tinto announced the company's procurement

of a combined USD4.4 billion from 20 lenders to fund the expansion of Oyu Tolgoi.

? On May 18 2015, an agreement was reached between Turquoise Hill and Mongolia's government to go

ahead with the USD5.3bn underground expansion. The end of the deadlock between the Mongolian

government and Turquoise Hill Resources over the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia's South Gobi region

further supports our view of rapid long-term growth in Mongolia's gold and copper output. An

increasingly favourable investment climate will allow overseas miners to take advantage of the country's

considerable gold and copper reserves. The Oyu Tolgoi mine will be the sector's key growth driver and

account for around one-third of Mongolia's economy once the mine reaches full production capacity in

2021.

Mongolia Mining Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Mongolia Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Developments & Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Mongolia - Coal: MPP Victory To Underpin Growth 10
Latest Developments 10
Table: Mongolia Coal Production Forecast 10
Table: Mongolia - Select Coal Projects 11
Structural Trends 13
Mongolia - Copper: Slowing Growth Until Oyu Tolgoi Expansion 17
Latest Developments 17
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020) 17
Table: Mongolia - Select Copper Mine Projects 17
Structural Trends 18
Gold: Strong Growth Ahead 21
Latest Developments 21
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020) 21
Table: Mongolia - Select Gold Projects 22
Structural Trends 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
Mining Risk/Reward Index 25
Rewards 25
Industry Rewards 25
Country Rewards 25
Risks 25
Industry Risks 25
Country Risks 26
Asia Risk/Reward Index 26
Key Takeaways 26
Latest Revisions 27
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index 28
Regulatory Development 29
Mining Reforms To Lift Exploration 29
Trade & Investment Risk Analysis 30
Commodities Forecast 34
Commodities Outlook 34
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 34
Competitive Landscape 36
MPP's Victory To Attract More Foreign Investment 36
Table: Mongolia - Financial Data Of Key Listed Companies 37
Company Profile 38
Centerra Gold 38
Table: Centerra Gold - Key Financial Data 41
Turquoise Hill Resources 42
Table: Turquoise Hill - Key Financial Data 44
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto 45
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 47
Company Analysis 47
Table: Select Companies - Key Data 51
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 54
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 55
Regional Overview 56
Asia Overview 56
Slowing Iron Ore Production 56
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform 57
China & India To Lead In Outbound Investment 58
Indonesian Ban Moderation Ahead 59
Chinese Coal & Steel Sectors To Consolidate Slowly 61
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

List of Tables

Table: Mongolia Mining Industry Value
Table: Mongolia Coal Production Forecast
Table: Mongolia - Select Coal Projects
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020)
Table: Mongolia - Select Copper Mine Projects
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020)
Table: Mongolia - Select Gold Projects
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Table: Mongolia - Financial Data Of Key Listed Companies
Table: Centerra Gold - Key Financial Data
Table: Turquoise Hill - Key Financial Data
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Select Companies - Key Data
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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