Middle East And North Africa Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 57

BMI View: Low oil prices have accelerated efforts to reform fuel subsidy programmes and economic

diversification plans, but have had little impact on production in the Middle East. Oil production and

investment into new projects, particularly in the Persian Gulf region, remain strong.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Oil production remains strong as key producers look to take advantage of falling output elsewhere. In

particular, Persian Gulf states are maximising production.

- The Middle East remains the most stable region for rig counts, with lower oil prices having minimal

impact on investments.

- Investments are increasingly targeting gas projects, as producers look to release higher-value crude for

export and meet growing domestic energy demand.

Middle East And North Africa Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Regional Forecast Analysis 7
Middle East Oil & Gas Regional Overview 7
Oil Production: Output On Upward Trajectory 7
Oil Consumption: Gas And Subsidy Reform Tempering Demand 10
Table: Gasoline-95 Pump Price June 2015 & March 2016 (USD/Litre) 10
Refining Capacity: Mega Refineries To Outcompete 12
Gas Production: Upstream Focus Swaying To Gas 13
Gas Consumption: Industrial Growth And Power Drive Demand 15
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Production, Refining Capacity & Trade 16
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
Middle East - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 17
Upstream: Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 18
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 18
Downstream: Limited Opportunities 20
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 20
Industry Trends 23
Global - OPEC Reasserting Its Market Role 23
Subsidy Reform Risk To Consumption 25
Table: Gasoline Pump Prices For July 2015 & July 2016 (USD/LITRE) 26
Middle East - Low Oil Price Supports Gas Projects 29
MENA - Power Trends Support LNG Growth 33
Table: MENA - Existing, Under Construction And Proposed LNG Import Terminals 33
Table: MENA LNG Demand Creation 37
Price Forecasts 38
Global - Brent: Conventional Declines To Drive 2017 Recovery 38
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl 38
Asia - JKM Prices Set To Tumble 47
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Source 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 56
Table: Weighting 57

List of Tables

Table: Gasoline-95 Pump Price June 2015 & March 2016 (USD/Litre)
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Production, Refining Capacity & Trade
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Gasoline Pump Prices For July 2015 & July 2016 (USD/LITRE)
Table: MENA - Existing, Under Construction And Proposed LNG Import Terminals
Table: MENA LNG Demand Creation
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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