Mexico Renewables Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 45

BMI View: Our optimistic outlook for Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry is underpinned by the

country's strong commitment to developing renewable energy sources, large project pipeline and sound

industry fundamentals. Growth will be driven primarily by the wind and solar sectors, with smaller

contributions coming from geothermal and biomass projects. We note that continuously declining electricity

prices in Mexico present a downside risk to our forecasts, as they may gradually erode renewables'

competitiveness relative to traditional thermal generation sources.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? This quarter, we have maintained our forecasts for Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry. Supported

by strong industry and country-specific fundamentals, we forecast non-hydro renewables capacity to

average 15.5% growth during 2016-2025, reaching a total of 18.6GW. By 2025, we believe non-hydro

renewables' share in the country's total generation capacity will reach 10.4%, up from 4.2%.

? We hold our view that wind power will be the technology of choice in Mexico's non-hydro renewables

industry. The wind sector is set to grow at the fastest pace (in absolute terms) over the coming decade,

accounting for more than 58% of total non-hydro renewables generation and nearly 72% of total capacity

by 2025.

Mexico Renewables Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Mexico Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Solar Power Projects Contracted At Mexico's First Power Auction 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025) 28
Mexico Renewables Projects Database 29
Table: Mexico - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Mexico Renewables Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 32
Targets 32
Subsidies 32
Infrastructure 33
Competitive Landscape 35
Comisión Federal de Electricidad 35
Acciona Energia Mexico 36
Iberdrola 36
Gamesa Corporación Technólgica 37
Vestas Wind Systems 37
Glossary 39
Table: Glossary Of Terms 39
Methodology 40
Methodology And Sources 40
Industry Forecast Methodology 40
Sources 42
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 42
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 44
Table: Weighting Indicators 45

List of Tables

Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2015-2021)
Table: Solar Power Projects Contracted At Mexico's First Power Auction
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Table: Mexico - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Indicators
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