Mexico Autos Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 48

BMI View: Import restrictions on used cars will continue to limit the supply of second hand cars into

Mexico, pushing more households up into the new car market or down into the motorcycle market and

spurring new car and motorcycle sales.

Key Views

? Passenger car segment to outperform despite the Bank of Mexico beginning an interest rate hiking cycle,

given private consumption growth and better household access to finance following financial reforms and

increasing formalisation of the labour market.

? The risk of the government stalling on its introduction of Euro VI regulations for heavy commercial

vehicles is increasing the downside risks to our 2017 heavy truck and bus sales forecasts.

? Production growth will be sustained over the next five years as large-scale OEM investments come online

and exports to Latin America recover.

Mexico Autos Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Industry Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 10
Latest Developments 10
Structural Trends 10
Passenger Vehicles 29
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 29
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 29
Key Players 29
Table: Passenger Car Sales* By Brand 29
Commercial Vehicles 30
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 30
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 30
Key Players 32
Table: LCV Sales By Brand*, Units 32
Table: Key Players - Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units 32
Motorcycles 33
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 33
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 33
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
Industry Trend Analysis 34
Colombia Hit By Commodity Reliance 34
North American Stability Underlined 35
Brazil A Long Term Story 35
Regional Overview 36
Latin America 36
Table: Latin American Autos Production Investment 36
Motorcycle Segment Coming To Life 38
SUV Interest Sits Well With Consumer Tastes 38
Deeper Supply Chains Remain A Key Goal 39
Demographic Forecast 40
Demographic Outlook 40
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025) 41
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025) 41
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025) 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecasts 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 48

List of Tables

Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020)
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020)
Table: Passenger Car Sales* By Brand
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020)
Table: LCV Sales By Brand*, Units
Table: Key Players - Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020)
Table: Latin American Autos Production Investment
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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