Kyrgyzstan Power Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 47

BMI View: An ageing electricity grid network and lack of new capacity coming online means Kyrgyzstan's

power sector will remain vulnerable to cuts and losses over our 10-year forecast period. Hydropower will

remain the dominant source of power generation owing to continued focus on increasing hydropower

capacity. Lack of diversification and insufficient funding for planned hydropower projects means power

generation growth will remain stagnant up until 2025.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- The Kyrgyz government has stated that the fate of the Kambarata-1 and Upper Naryn hydropower plants

will be decided on between October and November.

- There is reportedly interest from China, United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Japan in constructing the

hydropower projects. We await a firm decision from the government as well as more concrete evidence

that the projects will go ahead before including it in our forecasts.

- The Central Asia - South Asia - 1000 (CASA - 1000) power line has reportedly received renewed

investor interest from Russia and Turkmenistan, with the wish of exporting electricity to Pakistan.

- The CASA-1000 line will also reportedly no longer be constructed through Afghanistan, but instead

alternative routes are being considered due to a lack of demand as well as security issues within the

country.

Kyrgyzstan Power Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015 - 2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Kyrgyzstan Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Kyrgyzstan Power Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 17
Transmission And Distribution 17
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025) 19
Industry Risk Reward Index 20
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index 20
Kyrgyzstan Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
Competitive Landscape 31
Competitive Landscape 31
Regional Overview 33
CEE Power Regional Overview 33
Glossary 41
Table: Glossary Of Terms 41
Methodology 42
Methodology And Sources 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Sources 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 45
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 46
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 47

List of Tables

Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015 - 2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2020-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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