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BMI View: High consumer confidence and a strong supply of cheap auto loans are providing the strongest
support to new car sales.
? A collapse in Italy's banking system, which our Country Risk team has flagged as a major risk, represents
the biggest danger to passenger car sales through its negative impact on lending for auto loans.
? Pent-up demand and the need to replace the country's ageing fleet will encourage new car sales.
? Commercial vehicles will perform strongly due to a higher business confidence and rising capital
expenditure with heavy trucks outperforming the segment due to an uptick in heavy construction activity.
? Vehicle production will continue expansionist faster paced expansion as Fiat Chrysler Automobiles
increases the output of its Alfa Romeo brand in time for new releases.
? Bus production at Italy's last remaining bus manufacturer is no longer on track for terminal decline but
challenges will still stall a meaningful recovery until 2017.