Iraq Defence and Security Report 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 33

BMI View: Iraqi defence expenditure will increase substantially over our forecast period, amid Baghdad's

efforts to counter terrorism, reduce elevated levels of violence and unrest, and regain control of borders

and airspace. The country's armed forces are in need of a range of equipment - particularly in the ground

and aerospace segments; however, operational expenses will continue to take up a large share of the

overall defence budget, limiting funds available for new procurement. Nevertheless, Baghdad will likely be

able to purchase urgently needed equipment with military aid or flexible payment arrangements offered by

its strategic allies. Iraq remains wholly reliant on foreign suppliers to meet its armed forces' requirements

given the complete lack of a domestic defence industry - a situation which we do not expect to change over

the next decade.

Latest Updates

- In August 2016, the US Department of Defense (DoD) approved the delivery of an undisclosed number

of Boeing ScanEagle UAS to Iraq under a USD8.3mn contract.

- In the same month, the Iraqi air force (IqAF) took delivery of another Beechcraft King Air 350 extended

range (ER) aircraft modified with intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) capability. As the

DoD has previously issued a notification of a 24 King Air 350ER aircraft requirement from Iraq, more

deliveries are likely to follow over coming quarters.

- In April 2016, IqAF reportedly received another three Sukhoi Su-25 ground attack aircraft from Russia.

- Also in April 2016, the US DoD announced it would deliver 60 Textron Commando Select armoured

vehicles to Iraq under a USD66mn contract.

Iraq Defence and Security Report 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Defence Expenditure (Iraq 2016-2020) 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Defence Industry SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Defence Expenditure 9
Table: Iraq - Defence Expenditure (2014-2019) 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (Iraq 2020-2025) 10
Defence Trade 12
International Partnerships 12
Table: Iraq - Defence Agreements 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Table: Middle East and North Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Rewards 15
Risks 15
Market Overview 17
Defence Market Overview 17
Domestic Defence Sector 17
Domestic Defence Market 18
Armed Forces Overview 19
Armed Forces 19
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iraq 2006-2013) 20
Current Deployments 20
Security Overview 22
Domestic Threat 22
Regional Threats 27
International Threats 28
Methodology 29
Industry Forecast Methodology 29
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 30
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 32
Weighting 33
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 33

List of Tables

Table: Defence Expenditure (Iraq 2016-2020)
Table: Iraq - Defence Expenditure (2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Iraq 2020-2025)
Table: Iraq - Defence Agreements
Table: Middle East and North Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iraq 2006-2013)
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index
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