Iran Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 55

BMI View: We have made some minor forecast revisions in this quarterly update, but continue to hold our

core view for the Iranian telecommunications market. BMI is of the opinion that the removal of sanctions

on Iran in January 2016 will have a positive impact on foreign direct investment in the country, with GDP

forecast to grow at a rapid pace over the medium-term. The mobile segment will continue to grow on a

strong trajectory due to increased accessibility of 3G and 4G services. The wireline segment will grow

modestly due to growing preference for mobile over fixed solutions.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? Removal of sanctions in January 2016 should encourage increased foreign direct investment into Iran,

with BMI's Country Risk team predicting GDP to rise from 3.8% in 2016 to around 4% in 2020.

? Since the launch of 3G and 4G data services, the Iranian mobile market has experienced strong growth yo-

y and total mobile subscribers are expected to reach 146.4mn subscribers in 2020, up from 132.6mn in

2016.

? Growth in the wireline segment will be subdued due to increase availability of mobile services; 32.6mn

fixed lines are expected to be in service in 2020, up slightly from 30.8mn in 2016.

Iran Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates & Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Iran 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Middle East and North Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 19
Iran Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers & Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice & Broadband 28
Regulatory Development 32
Industry Risks 32
Main Development: MVNOs to Enter the Market 33
Additional Developments 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure 34
Table: Key Players: Iranian Telecoms Market 34
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn) 34
Table: Mobile Market Overview 35
Table: MTN Irancell 35
Table: Hamrahe Aval (MCI) 36
Table: Taliya 36
Company Profile 37
MTN Irancell 37
Telecommunications Company Of Iran (TCI) 41
Demographic Forecast 44
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 45
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 45
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 47
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Iran 2013-2020)
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Table: Key Players: Iranian Telecoms Market
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn)
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: MTN Irancell
Table: Hamrahe Aval (MCI)
Table: Taliya
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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