Iran Power Report Q4 2012

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Oct-2012
No. of pages: 45

BMI View: Plans to develop Iran’s nuclear capacity are central to the country’s power industry and its
ability to meet its energy requirements. Given huge international resistance, there is no certainty of
continuing nuclear availability, let alone additional reactors. Efforts to halt the nuclear programme will
persist and sanctions will make it hard to maintain a high level of investment. Iran would benefit from
more rapid development of its renewables potential as a means of reducing oil and gas dependency.
Conventional thermal sources are expected to remain the dominant fuel for electricity generation, with
many of the power projects that are currently under construction due to use gas. Expansion of Iran’s
nuclear capacity is planned, but external political resistance means it is far from certain whether further
reactors will be built. Talks continue with the aim of ending the stalemate but, at the time of writing, no
breakthrough was imminent.
Key trends and recent developments in the Iranian electricity market include:
? Majid Salehi, the managing director of Iran Power Development Company, has revealed
that around 23 new power plants will begin production by the end of the government’s
tenure in the next Iranian year, starting March 2013. Investment of approximately IRR50trn
will be required for the projects, which will be developed as part of the energy ministry’s
Mehr Mandegar programme. The 648MW Kermanshah Power Plant will be the first to start
production, while the gas-fired units of the Zanjan, Semnan and Shahround power plants
should become operational in the coming months. The ministry has granted permits for the
private sector construction of renewable energy power plants, with a combined production
capacity of 12 gigawatts (GW), according to Iran Renewable Energy Organisation’s
Managing Director, Yousef Armodeli.
? In late May 2012, Iran’s government terminated a contract that was awarded to China for the
construction of the Bakhtiari hydropower plant in the south west of the country, according
to Energy Minister Majid Namjou. China’s proposed US$2bn financial package for the
1,500 megawatt (MW) plant was rejected by the Iranian Central Bank, with the project now
being awarded to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps’ engineering arm, Khatam al-
Anbiya. The cancellation of the contract could have an adverse impact on the economic
relationship between China and Iran.
? During the period 2012-2021, Iran’s overall power generation is expected to increase by an
annual average of 2.47%, to 275.9 terawatt hours (TWh). Driving this growth is the build-up
of output from the country’s first nuclear power facility, which was connected to the grid in
2012 and should be generating power on a commercial scale before the end of 2012. Nonhydro
renewables are expected to deliver average annual supply growth of 4.43%.
? With Iran’s 2012 real GDP expected to have decreased by 1.2%, BMI forecasts average
annual growth of 2.4% between 2012 and 2021. The population is expected to rise from the
current level of 75.6mn to 81.5mn during the period to 2021, and net power consumption
looks set to increase from 176.6TWh to 228.7TWh by 2021. During the period 2012-2021,
the average annual growth rate for electricity demand is forecast at 2.60%.
? Thanks partly to the projected rise in net generation, growth of which falls somewhat short of
the underlying demand trend, Iran’s power supply surplus is likely to stagnate over the
medium term, although the country is keen to develop its power export capability. A decline
in the percentage of transmission and distribution (T&D) losses from an estimated 17.3% to
16.3% will help balance the market. The estimated net export capability in 2021 is put at

Iran Power Report Q4 2012

Executive Summary. 5
SWOT Analysis ... 7
Iran Power SWOT... 7
Regional Industry Overview ... 8
Table: Top 5 infrastructure projects globally in 2011.. 10
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 13
Iran Snapshot (Macro).... 13
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data, 2011-2021 . 13
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector.. 13
Iran Forecast Scenario ... 14
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity... 14
Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016. 14
Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 ... 16
Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016 18
Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021... 19
Electricity Consumption.. 23
Table: Iran Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016... 23
Table: Iran Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 23
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports ... 24
Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts 2010-2016.. 24
Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 ... 25
Table: Iran Trade Data And Forecasts,2010-2016. 25
Table: Iran Long-Term Trade Forecasts, 2015-2021.. 25
Key Policies/Market Structure... 28
Regulation and Competition 28
Regional Risk/Reward Ratings.. 30
MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings . 30
Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)... 34
Iran Power Risk/Reward Ratings... 35
Rewards . 35
Risks.. 35
Competitive Landscape .. 36
Glossary of Terms . 38
Table: Glossary of Terms 38
Methodology And Sources ... 39
Industry Forecasts 39
Power Industry - Data Methodology .. 40
Generation and Consumption Data .... 40
Electricity Generation Capacity Data. 41
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology.... 41
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 43
Sources .. 44Table: Top infrastructure projects globally in
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data, -
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts -
Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, -
Table: Iran Trade Data And Forecasts,-
Table: Iran Long-Term Trade Forecasts, -
Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of )
Table: Glossary of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators

  • Global Stem Cell Therapy Industry Witnesses Steady Growth
    Stem cell research which is one of the most contemporary areas of biology has developed rapidly in the last couple of years. Increased funding in stem cell research by both government and private organizations is one of the main drivers in the stem cell therapy industry. Stem cells are used in various medical therapies such [...]
  • Global Lubricant Market Driven by Increased Demand in Automotive Industry
    With growth in the automobile industry, the demand for lubricants has also increased. The robust growth in manufacturing with increase in industrial production, particularly in countries such as China and India are also fueling the demand for lubricants. In 2013, the global market for lubricants had reached a value of 123.64 billion USD. By 2020, [...]
  • Global Cybersecurity Market Driven by Increase in Cyber Attacks
    In recent years, the global market for cybersecurity has grown steadily, with the rapid adoption of cloud-based services. As more and more corporate and government organizations are realizing the importance of protecting data and intellectual property, the market for cybersecurity is going to expand. In 2014, the global market for cybersecurity was valued at 95.60 [...]
  • Global Epilepsy Drug Market Continues to Grow Steadily
    The global epilepsy drug market has grown steadily in recent years with increased sales of anti-epileptic drugs which are targeted at reducing seizures. Epilepsy is a condition which affects the brain and is characterized with repeated seizures in the patient. Treatment for epilepsy usually involves the use of medicines known as anti-epileptic drugs which prevents [...]
  • Global Meat and Poultry Product Market to Witness Steady Growth
    As global demand for meat and poultry products continues to rise, the market for meat and poultry is also expected to grow steadily. The market for meat and poultry products is driven by rise in disposable income, growing awareness among consumers about the importance of adding protein to their diet, and change in eating habits. [...]
  • Graft-Versus-Host Disease (GVHD) Treatment Market worth $407 million by 2018
  • The graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) treatment market value will increase from $297 million in 2013 to $407 million by 2018, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.59%, according to research and consulting firm GlobalData. The company’s latest report* states …

  • Poland Pharmaceutical Industry Growing at 8.3% CAGR to 2020
  • Factors such as the growing elderly population, increasing availability of affordable medicines, and transparent regulatory guidelines will provide the necessary impetus for the growth of the Polish pharmaceutical market, but a decrease in mark-up prices and the country’s stringent drug …

  • Asia-Pacific, Led by China, Drive the Global Methanol Industry
  • China is driving the global methanol industry, with tremendous demand from both its energy and petrochemicals sectors. It accounts for 87.9% of Asia-Pacific’s (APAC) methanol capacity, and 51.9% of the global methanol capacity. Despite a large planned capacity increase in …

  • Diagnostic X-ray Imaging Market worth $4.0 billion by 2020
  • GlobalData estimates that the global diagnostic X-ray imaging market, worth $2.4 billion in 2012, will reach almost $4.0 billion by 2020, increasing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.7% during the forecast period. Many players are active in …

  • Graft-Versus-Host Disease Market Forecast to 2023
  • Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is a common complication of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) that occurs when the donated (graft) cells are rejected and attack the host’s cells as foreign. GVHD can progress from mild to severe forms as either …

  • Offshore Vessels and Cables Market – Market Size, Competitive Landscape and Key Country Analysis to 2020
    Published: 20-Nov-2014        Price: US $3995 Onwards        Pages: 84
    Offshore Vessels and Cables Market – Market Size, Competitive Landscape and Key Country Analysis to 2020 is the latest report from GlobalData, the industry analysis specialists that offers information and a comprehensive understanding of the wind power industry. The report discusses the global offshore wind power market, including historical and forecast installed capacity, the market shares of offshore wind turbine manufacturers, and information on offshore project developers. The report a......
  • Norway Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 19-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 58
    Recent developments: ? Statkraft, the country's largest power producer has allocated NOK12bn (USD1.81bn) to upgrade Norwegian and Swedish hydropower plants from 2014 to 2018. Also, the country's fifth largest utility, BKK Produksjon has started to upgrade its hydro production facilities. BKK aims to upgrade its Matre plant to almost double the capacity of its existing plant by 2016, from 96MW to 180MW. ? Norway plans to two build subsea power cables connecting Norway to the UK and Germany, both ......
  • Global Nuclear Decommissioning Market 2014-2018
    Published: 19-Nov-2014        Price: US $2500 Onwards        Pages: 80
    Nuclear decommissioning is the process of dismantling a nuclear facility permanently. The nuclear decommissioning process commences once the owner decides to permanently close down the nuclear facility. It involves the removal of used nuclear fuel from the reactor, cleaning, dismantling, and disposing of all the radioactive components. The decommissioning process is completed when all radioactive wastes and components have been completely dismantled or decayed to a level such that the site can b......
  • Nordics Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 19-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 92
    BMI View: With our fundamental assumptions for the three Nordic markets covered in this report unvaried, our forecasts for their power sectors remain largely unchanged this quarter. Overall, we maintain our view that, while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone remains a major risk factor for the consumption and generation outlook of the three Nordic countries, as more regional instability could undermine their economic activity. In terms of sectoral deve......
  • Peru Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 12-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 64
    BMI View: Total power generation in Peru will grow by an annual average of 6.6% between 2014 and 2023 - the fastest growth rate in South America. The energy-intensive mining sector, a sound business environment and an expanding consumer base will continue to drive economic growth in Peru - and by extension power consumption. The expansion in electricity generation will be provided primarily by new thermal (particularly natural gas) and hydropower capacity, but renewables are gradually starting t......
  • Russia Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 12-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 90
    BMI View: The deterioration of the Russian economy will cap demand for electricity and weigh on utilities' revenues in 2015. A downward revision to our forecasts for real GDP growth amid falling global oil prices, negative investor sentiment, as well as an electricity tariff freeze, will hit earnings at companies like Fortum, Gazprom and Inter Rao - discouraging investment in the replacement of aging generation capacity. The outlook for the Russian economy - and by extension demand for power - h......
  • Thailand Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 12-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 58
    BMI View: We are forecasting electricity generation in Thailand to grow by 2.8% in 2015, similar to the growth the country experienced in 2014. Meanwhile, we have moderated our long-term forecasts for electricity generation in Thailand. This is because the country continues to experience challenges in procuring gas supplies and is clearly moving towards increasing its reliance on electricity imports. We are forecasting electricity generation in Thailand to grow by 2.8% in 2015, similar to growth......
  • Venezuela Power Report Q1 2015
    Published: 12-Nov-2014        Price: US $1295 Onwards        Pages: 50
    BMI View: This quarter we maintain our negative outlook of the Venezuelan electricity market. Although the country had made some progress with regard to improving existing capacity and bringing new projects online over the past year, the country continues to suffer from blackouts, stemming from inadequate hydropower output (primarily as a result of low rainfall levels) and inefficiencies in the transmission and distribution segment. As such the country is in dire need of further increasing its e......
  • Global Autogas Market 2014-2018
    Published: 12-Nov-2014        Price: US $2500 Onwards        Pages: 68
    Autogas is commonly known as LPG and is used as an alternative fuel in vehicles such as LMVs and city buses as well as stationary applications such as generators. It is produced as a by-product of petroleum gas processing in Petroleum Refining industries. It is usually present in gaseous form at atmospheric temperature and pressure and liquefies in colder temperatures or under refrigeration (pure butane liquefies at 68 degrees Fahrenheit and pure propane at 131 degrees Fahrenheit). This makes it......
    Value for Money
    We believe in "optimum utilization of available budget and resources". While servicing our clients' (your) market research requirements, we keep the same approach in focus to help you get the best value for your $$s.
    Ever Growing Inventory
    Ranging from the smallest feasible / required data (datasheets, data facts, SWOT analysis, company profiles, etc) to full research reports that help you make decisions, our inventory is updated almost on a daily basis with the latest industry reports from domain experts that track more than 5000 niche sectors.
    One Stop Solution
    Need a custom research report on medical devices market? Require all available business intelligence on 3D printing industry? Exploring F&B sector of a particular country/region? is your one-stop-solution to all market intelligence needs. We not only offer custom research and consulting services, we also "bundle" reports to meet your needs and help you fetch the data analysis you require for your business.
    Dedicated Client Engagement
    Not limited to only "finding" relevant reports for you, our client engagement team dedicates its efforts to understand your "business need" and accordingly maps available research data to help you move forward. Call "your" client engagement executive any time of your day and get your questions answered in order to make the correct business decision.
    Saving Time and Efforts
    Simply share your research requirement details with us and let us do all the hard work to find required intelligence for you. When you add up our "one stop solution" and "dedicated client engagement" services mentioned above, you obviously know the time and effort saving you do by working with us.
    Payment Flexibility
    Working with Fortune 500 organizations, we understand the importance of being flexible for payments. Share your payment terms with us and we will surely match up to them to ensure you get access to required business intelligence data without having to wait for the payment to be done.
    Post-Purchase Research Support
    Have questions after reading a report / datasheet bought through us? Not sure about the methodology used for data available in the research? Talk to us / Share your questions with us and if required, we will connect you with the analyst(s)/author(s) of the report(s) and ensure you get satisfactory answers for the same. Need more data / analysis / report(s) on the topic of your research/project? The team is here for you 24X7 to support you with your post-purchase requirements. Subscription Offers & Packages (Get in touch with us for more details - [email protected] / +1 888 391 5441 )
    • Ad Hoc
    • Pay - as - you - go / Bucket Subscriptions
    • Fixed Cost for #of reports
    • Customize / Personalize as per your needs