Iran Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 62

BMI View: Iran's construction sector is poised for robust growth in the wake of sanctions removal, both

throughout 2016 and over the first half of our forecast period, driven primarily by an influx of international

investment and a post-sanctions financial windfall. We expect transport and energy in particular to attract

the lion's share of investment, reflecting the high levels of structural demand in sectors long plagued by

underinvestment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? We have raised our 2016 growth forecast for Iran's construction sector, from 4.5% to 7.9%. This growth

pattern will persist over the entirety of our forecast period, and we expect Iran's construction sector to

comprise a steadily growing share of the country's overall GDP, from 10% today to over 12% by 2025.

? Our optimistic growth outlook for Iran's power and transport subsectors is driven by a raft of high value

investment pledges. Foremost among these is Turkish firm UNIT International's USD4.2bn deal signed

on June 1 with the Iranian energy ministry to build seven natural gas-fired power plants in Iran. In the

transport space, Italy's state-owned highway management firm Anas signed a deal with the Iranian

Ministry of Roads to build and manage a 1,200km road in the country. The EUR3.6bn (USD4bn) project

involves bulding a road connecting the port of Bandar Imam Khomeini to Bazargah.

? Reflecting the lifting of sanctions in January 2016, Iran's Project Risk Index score on the cost subsection

of the Finance pillar, which quantifies a country's access to development funding, registered a dramatic

improvement, jumping from a previous score of 5 to a current score of 50.

Iran Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Iran) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Iran - Sanctions Removal To Unlock Funding For Infrastructure 9
Sanctions Removal To Unlock Funding For Infrastructure 9
Latest Updates 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025) 10
Structural Trends 10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Table: Key Transport Infrastructure Projects 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 25
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure 37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38
Iran - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks 40
Table: Select Infrastructure Investments January -- June 2016 45
Table: MENA RRI 48
Market Overview 49
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: Iran EQS Data 51
Company Profile 52
Iran Power Plant Projects Management Co. (Mapna) 52
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

List of Tables

Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Iran)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025)
Table: Key Transport Infrastructure Projects
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
Table: Select Infrastructure Investments January -- June 2016
Table: MENA RRI
Table: Iran EQS Data
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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