Iran Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 21-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 43

BMI View: The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy heralds a new era for the country. In

terms of agriculture, the return of economic growth will have the most rapid and direct impact on

consumption. Production and investment in the supply chain will also benefit, but over the longer term.

Therefore, production expansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years and Iran will

remain a large and growing importer of key commodities. The lifting of sanctions will also lead to a

normalisation of trade flows, which will encompass a rise in imports and the re-diversification of suppliers.

Key Forecasts

? Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 23.0% to 16.2mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improve

owing to the modernisation of technology, including hardier grains variants, greater access to relevant

inputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.

? Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 27.6% to 3.1mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven by

population growth and the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions from

2016.

Iran Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Iran - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 16
Rice Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Iran - Risks To Rice Outlook 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 20
Sugar Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Iran - Risks To Sugar Outlook 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 24
Dairy Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Iran - Milk Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Iran - Risks To Dairy Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 28
Livestock Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Iran - Risks To Livestock Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 33
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 34
Commodities Price Analysis 35
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 35
Demographic Forecast 37
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 38
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 38
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 40
Methodology 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Sector-Specific Methodology 43

List of Tables

Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Iran - Risks To Grains Outlook
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Iran 2013-2020)
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Iran - Risks To Rice Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Iran - Risks To Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Iran 2013-2020)
Table: Iran - Milk Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Iran - Risks To Dairy Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Iran - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
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