Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 79

BMI View: We maintain our generally positive outlook for the Indonesian telecommunications market in

our latest Q4 2016 report update. Current and ongoing investments will help improve the national

broadband infrastructure. Nevertheless, the geographical barriers to Indonesia's archipelagic nature and

high development costs will pose a downside risk to the government's plan to develop the national fixed

infrastructure. By engaging in 4G network and infrastructure sharing arrangements, Indonesia's mobile

networks operators will benefit from efficiencies that will not only boost LTE rollout speeds, but also help

the operators reduce costs. The proliferation of 4G mobile connections could have a dampening effect on

demand for fixed broadband services. However, we envisage downside risks to 4G service uptake, as the

new minimum local content requirements on LTE-enabled devices could have the effect of increasing

production costs and, consequently, the price of smartphones.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? Total subscriptions in the mobile sector grew to 337.5mn at the end of Q1 2016, for a penetration of

130.5%. Amid market saturation, mobile operators will aim to reverse downward trending ARPUs by

migrating subscribers on to post-paid plans and higher-value services.

? We estimate strong growth in the 3G/4G mobile sector as heavy investments by operators continue

to push technological uptake forward.

? Fixed broadband subscribers will grow by 18.3% in 2016 to reach 9.00mn, and this number is

expected to rise to 15.76mn in 2020. However, penetration will still remain low under 6.0% as costs

and topological factors limit expansion speed.

Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 18
Indonesia Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 22
Market Drivers & Trends 22
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice & Broadband 30
Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments 34
Pay TV 34
Regulatory Development 36
Industry Risks 36
Main Development: Ministry Threatens to Revoke Licenses 37
Additional Development 37
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn) 38
Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015 38
Table: Mobile Market Overiew 38
Table: Indosat 39
Table: Telkomsel 42
Table: XL Axiata 44
Company Profile 48
Indosat 48
Telkom 53
Telkomsel 59
XL Axiata 63
Demographic Forecast 68
Demographic Outlook 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 71
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Terms 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sources 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn)
Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015
Table: Mobile Market Overiew
Table: Indosat
Table: Telkomsel
Table: XL Axiata
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
  • Increasing New Outlets And Striking Offers To Drive Global Pizza Market
    The global pizza market is predicted to grow at a steady CAGR of about 3% by 2020. Pizza has been gaining massive acceptance globally in the last few years. Consequently, the global pizza market is anticipated to observer considerable progress in the coming years. The growing number of pizzerias is one of the major elements [...]
  • Healthy Diet Demand In Developed Economies To Boost Nutraceuticals
    As customers scuffle to keep up with the frantic lifestyles, the necessity for healthy nutrition rises owing to dearth of time to spend on laborious exercises.  Customers are shifting their attention to swift and healthy food behaviours. Increase in intake of beverages and functional food has offered makers of nutraceuticals with money-spinning prospects to benefit [...]
  • World Economic Forum Unveils Top 10 Emerging Technologies of 2016
    The World Economic Forum (WEF) and Scientific American lately unveiled the major technological innovation list of the top ten emerging technologies of 2016. This list emphasizes on the technological developments which have the supremacy to transform industries, protect the planet, and improve lives. It also presents an opening to discuss any societal, human, economic or [...]
  • Siemens Adds To the Growth of Wind Power Generation Market
    Siemens has been presenting ground-breaking strategies and pioneering solutions for energy generation for an intelligent power supply globally. With an expansive portfolio and wide-ranging proficiency in wind power generation, Siemens is likely to aid in increasing the share of wind power in the US energy mix. With New Mexico’s vicinity to significant wind energy areas, [...]
  • Global Public Safety LTE Ecosystem Overview
    In view of its flourishing ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, LTE has emerged as the leading candidate for public safety mobile broadband networks. Public safety organizations and establishments have already begun planning to advance their networks to LTE-based public safety solutions. LTE provisions a varied range of services, from high bandwidth data services to [...]
  • The North America telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016–2021
    Published: 21-Oct-2016        Price: US 7999 Onwards        Pages: 40
    "Growth in fixed broadband prices will mitigate the competition-induced decline in mobile revenue." The fixed broadband market will be the major source of revenue growth in North America, as lack of competition and growing coverage of high-speed (up to gigabit) FTTH and cable networks allows operators to charge more for more-advanced services. However, mobile service revenue will decline due to growing competition in the USA, brought on by the competitive pricing and ......
  • Global Operation & Business Support System Sales Market Report 2016
    Published: 20-Oct-2016        Price: US 4000 Onwards        Pages: 104
    Notes: Sales, means the sales volume of Operation & Business Support System Revenue, means the sales value of Operation & Business Support System This report studies sales (consumption) of Operation & Business Support System in Global market, especially in United States, China, Europe, Japan, focuses on top players in these regions/countries, with sales, price, revenue and market share for each player in these regions, covering - Accenture - Amdocs......
  • Cameroon and Gabon Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 71
    BMI View: Cameroon and Gabon's improving economies, dynamic mobile markets and progressive regulatory regimes mark them out as investment destinations with only moderate levels of risk. However, Gabon's mobile market is saturated and consolidation is underway; price competition may also now intensify and operators therefore need to focus on services - rather than infrastructure - as a way of differentiating their offering customers. In Cameroon, regulator ART is actively ......
  • Chile Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 65
    BMI View: We have made some forecast revisions to our Chile mobile outlook for the Q416 report update. The market posted a strong rebound in terms of subscriber growth in H116, bolstered by WOM's low cost services. Increased access to 3G/4G services, as operators launch LTE in acquired 700MHz spectrum later in the year, will spur growth in the market - trickling down growth into the mobile broadband segment, particularly within rural areas. We also anticipate that moderat......
  • Colombia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 64
    BMI View: We have made some minor forecast revisions for the Colombian mobile market in the Q416 quarterly report update. BMI holds the view that the mobile market is beginning to slow, having posted robust growth in the preceding years. The negative impact of inactive SIM discounting became modestly evident in 2015 and into 2016. Looking ahead, we maintain our core view that while market momentum will begin to cool, growth will remain positive. 4G uptake remains at a nas......
  • The Estonia telecoms market report 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1999 Onwards        Pages: 27
    This country report and accompanying data annex provide a comprehensive overview of Estonia's telecoms market, including KPIs and data on subscribers,  penetration, revenue and ARPU. The report analyses the strategies of major players in the country's fixed and mobile telecoms markets, and includes market share data and operators' infrastructure status. Company coverage This report includes information on the following companies. Elisa......
  • Italy Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 71
    BMI View: The Italian mobile market is saturated and the penetration rates of over 142% give testament to the maturity of the market. However, the market also supports a large number of inactive prepaid accounts and the quarterly reduction of such accounts from subscriber data will result in negative market growth over our five year forecast. Price competition is fierce in the market and the recent consolidation efforts will not lower aggressive competition as a new playe......
  • Morocco Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 48
    BMI View: The Moroccan telecoms market is split between a mobile segment seeking profitability to refinance technological developments and an underdeveloped wireline market with backwards services and high prices. Méditel's decision to offer 4G data for the same price as 3G has forced its competitors to follow suit. We have a positive view of this development over the long term as it will accelerate take-up of 4G services, but it also increases the need for operators to g......
  • Namibia and Botswana Telecommunications Report 2016
    Published: 19-Oct-2016        Price: US 1295 Onwards        Pages: 75
    BMI View: We maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Botswana and Namibia mobile markets in our latest annual forecast update. Out to 2020, we are of the opinion that the smaller size of these markets will subdue absolute organic growth prospects in terms of new subscribers. However, growth in the markets will be driven by the uptake of 3G/4G technologies in both the countries. We have a negative outlook regarding the Namibian telecoms market due to the governmen......
    Value for Money
    We believe in "optimum utilization of available budget and resources". While servicing our clients' (your) market research requirements, we keep the same approach in focus to help you get the best value for your $$s.
    Ever Growing Inventory
    Ranging from the smallest feasible / required data (datasheets, data facts, SWOT analysis, company profiles, etc) to full research reports that help you make decisions, our inventory is updated almost on a daily basis with the latest industry reports from domain experts that track more than 5000 niche sectors.
    One Stop Solution
    Need a custom research report on medical devices market? Require all available business intelligence on 3D printing industry? Exploring F&B sector of a particular country/region? is your one-stop-solution to all market intelligence needs. We not only offer custom research and consulting services, we also "bundle" reports to meet your needs and help you fetch the data analysis you require for your business.
    Dedicated Client Engagement
    Not limited to only "finding" relevant reports for you, our client engagement team dedicates its efforts to understand your "business need" and accordingly maps available research data to help you move forward. Call "your" client engagement executive any time of your day and get your questions answered in order to make the correct business decision.
    Saving Time and Efforts
    Simply share your research requirement details with us and let us do all the hard work to find required intelligence for you. When you add up our "one stop solution" and "dedicated client engagement" services mentioned above, you obviously know the time and effort saving you do by working with us.
    Payment Flexibility
    Working with Fortune 500 organizations, we understand the importance of being flexible for payments. Share your payment terms with us and we will surely match up to them to ensure you get access to required business intelligence data without having to wait for the payment to be done.
    Post-Purchase Research Support
    Have questions after reading a report / datasheet bought through us? Not sure about the methodology used for data available in the research? Talk to us / Share your questions with us and if required, we will connect you with the analyst(s)/author(s) of the report(s) and ensure you get satisfactory answers for the same. Need more data / analysis / report(s) on the topic of your research/project? The team is here for you 24X7 to support you with your post-purchase requirements. Subscription Offers & Packages (Get in touch with us for more details - / +1 888 391 5441 )
    • Ad Hoc
    • Pay - as - you - go / Bucket Subscriptions
    • Fixed Cost for #of reports
    • Customize / Personalize as per your needs