Indonesia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 46

BMI View: After a slowdown in Asian trade in 2015, Indonesia's trade sector is set to return to growth in

2016 and will strengthen over the medium term. All major commodities exports and imports are expected to

return to positive growth and with it, Indonesia's freight transport modes will benefit. Rail and air freight

will, in particular, see marked growth as a result of state and external investment in upgrading

infrastructure. Although Indonesia's ports will also continue to experience stable growth, their still-poor

capacity and efficiency will hinder its growth potential. Indonesia's aggressive approach towards

strengthening its trade ties with Australia, Malaysia and the European Union are all positive signs that the

country is set to achieve significant expansion in real and nominal trade volumes over the medium and long

term.

Latest Updates & Key Forecasts

? Indonesia's trade agreements with Australia, Malaysia and the European Union are all positive signs

suggesting that the country's bourgeoning import and export sector is poised to grow significantly over

the medium and long term out to 2020 and beyond. Imports will be driven by a strong rise in domestic

consumption and growing purchasing power of individuals and households. Exports, on the other hand,

will be propelled by a robust manufacturing and commodities sector. A general slowdown in Asian

economies and key trading partners in the region remains an ever present risk to our forecast.

? Road freight growth is forecast to grow by 3.7% in 2016, at 1.38bn tonnes.

? Rail freight volumes are forecast to rise by 4.2% in 2016, reaching 36.81mn tonnes.

? Air freight tonnage is set to rise to 3.4% in 2016, more than doubling the 1.5% we estimate was seen in

2015, to reach 512,000 tonnes.

? Indonesia's real trade growth will move back into positive figures in 2016, at 1.5%, building on 2015's

-2.30%.

Indonesia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Freight Transport & Shipping 7
Industry Forecast 9
Trade Forecast 9
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2013-2020) 13
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Indonesia 2013-2020) 13
Table: Main Import Partners 14
Table: Main Export Partners 15
Road Freight Forecast 16
Table: Road Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020) 19
Rail Freight Forecast 20
Table: Rail Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020) 22
Air Freight Forecast 23
Table: Air Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020) 26
Shipping Forecast 27
Ocean Shipping 27
Table: Average Annual Export & Import Growth by Commodity (%) 2016-2020 29
Table: Major Ports Data (Indonesia 2013-2020) 29
Table: Top Import Sources 2006-2013 30
Table: Top Export Sources 2006-2013 31
Market Overview 32
Company Profile 35
Garuda Indonesia (Cargo) 35
Demographic Forecast 38
Demographic Outlook 38
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 39
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 39
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 41
Methodology 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sector-Specific Methodology 44
Sources 46

List of Tables

Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Table: Road Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Rail Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Average Annual Export & Import Growth by Commodity (%) 2016-2020
Table: Major Ports Data (Indonesia 2013-2020)
Table: Top Import Sources 2006-2013
Table: Top Export Sources 2006-2013
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
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