Indian ATF Demand & Trend Outlook 2030

Publisher Name :
Date: 01-Jul-2018
No. of pages: 100

Key Questions Answered


  • What is the existing and evolving market size for ATF in India?

  • What is the emerging demand for ATF in India?

  • What is the existing competitive landscape for ATF sector in India?

  • What are the opportunities for private/parallel marketing companies for ATF in India?

  • What are the new demand centres for ATF in India?

  • Whether the supply & logistics infrastructure in these demand centres adequately developed tsustain future growth?

  • What could be the challenges in the supply chain of ATF in regional airports in India?

  • What is the outlook on overall investment potential in ATF in India given the stellar growth in ATF consumption?


Target Audience (s)

Our target audience is significantly diverse and ranges from thought leadership seekers/market speculators tthose looking for an independent intelligence before committing their resources or capital. Our laundry list includes:

Target audience Reasons tsubscribe

Aviation Companies -Aviation companies are hoarding tretain and maximize their market shares. The report outlines the new opportunities and provides an independent insight on the changing aviation fabric of the country

ATF Importers & SuppliersATF availability and its supply chain will be a center stage as Indian aviation sector grows even bigger and more regional. The report does a deep dive intthe evolving demand for ATF through mapping of new regional terminals and new demand

PSUs

Government Agencies/Policy MakersThe report will be vital for the Government and its policy making agencies whhave the mandate of achieving the end objective of promoting aviation as an accessible means of transportation

Banks/Financing Institutions/ Investors -The report provides an independent analysis of the opportunities and competitive challenges associated with ATF demand growth, which will be crucial in existing & future valuations and investment decisions.

India is witnessing a double-digit growth, nearly XX% growth year on year in air traffic due tincreasing passenger footfalls, making airport terminals operate at their peak capacity. The growth in traffic has been seen in both passenger as well as cargo:


  • Indian scheduled airlines carried more than XX domestic passengers during FY17 against XX in FY14, recording growth of XX%

  • Cargcarried registered over XX% growth tXX MT in FY16 from XX MT in FY14


Aviation companies alsshare the enthusiasm and been hoarding tgain market share. Domestic airline companies on a shopping spree for aircrafts. A rising demand vs supply mismatch is favoring airlines companies traise fare prices.

Government of India has been instrumental in creating a conducive environment for development of new routes, interconnectivity and promotes private sector investments in development and services in aviation sector in India.

New avenues have been created through various policies and initiatives such as National Civil Aviation Policy 2016, UDAN (A regional connectivity scheme), etc. AAI on behalf of MoCA got through a successful first round of bids from airline operator tboost regional connectivity through airlines and helicopter.

UDAN, highlights:


  • Regional Connectivity Scheme (RCS) by Ministry of Civil Aviation tconnect un-serviced and under-serviced airports

  • XX currently served airports, XX underserved airports and XX unserved airports tconnect XX RCS route

  • The RCS routes would cover a length between XX tXX km


Which means:


  • Revival of XX airports through infrastructure upgradation of XX in the next twyears

  • XX new airline UDAN seats added annually under first round of UDAN for a Viability Gap Funding (VGF) of INR XX

  • Selected airlines tcommit that:

  • XX% of the seats on RCS flights tbe sold at the specified airfare cap

  • Maintaining a frequency of minimum, XX flights per week and maximum XX flights per week.

  • Incentives

  • Concessions offered by the Central Government: Excise Duty at the rate of XX% shall be levied on Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) drawn by Selected Airline Operators at RCS Airports for RCS Flights for a period of three (3) years from the date of notification of this Scheme.

  • Upon transition tGST, rates will be applicable as determined under GST and exemptions/ concessions shall be given as permissible sthat such a reduced level of taxation could ideally be continued.

  • The service tax will be levied at only XX% of the taxable value of tickets for RCS seats for a period of one year.

  • Concessions/Support offered by the respective State Governments at RCS Airports within their States: Reduction of VAT tXX% or less on ATF at RCS Airports located within the State for a period of ten (10) years from the date of notification of this Scheme.

  • Government through its agencies will assist in coordinating with oil marketing companies for provision of fueling infrastructure on best effort basis.


With a boost in business and economic progress, and a greater reliance on air travel over other means of transportation, the overall consumption of ATF rose tXX% CAGR from XX TMT in FY14 tXX TMT in FY17. All the same, India has alsstarted importing ATF since FY15, and there has been a XX% CAGR from XX TMT in FY15 tXX TMT in FY17

Indian ATF Demand & Trend Outlook 2030

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
Indian Civil Aviation Sector Analysis

Indian Aviation Sector Framework
Government Agencies, their roles and responsibilities
Major Aviation Players

Indian Aviation Sector Highlights
Aviation traffic growth trend
Major drivers for Indian Aviation Sector
Competitive landscape of Aviation Companies in India
FDI in Aviation Sector in India

Major recent policies & initiatives taken by GoI, such as
National Civil Aviation Policy 2016
Regional Connectivity Scheme - UDAN
Highlights of private sector interest in Phase 1 bidding of RCS UDAN routes

Aviation Sector Capacity Outlook
Mapping of all major and small airports in India
High-level assessment of airport terminal capacity
Existing airport terminal capacity utilization based on traffic
Aviation company wise Mapping of fleet strength
- Existing fleet strength
- Insights on order booking and new fleet additions
Indian ATF Sector Analysis

Technical specifications of Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF)

ATF Pricing Analysis:
Historic ATF pricing trend
Build-up of ATF price
ATF Sector Outlook in India
Mapping of domestic Crude Oil Refineries Producing ATF in India
Major ATF marketing & supply players in India
Competitive landscape of ATF players in India
Outlook on ATF Supply Chain infrastructure:
- Pipeline
- Storage

ATF demand and supply trend in India (Historic trend analysis)
Aviation Turbine Fuel Consumption trend in India
Overall ATF supply trend,
- Domestic
- Imports

Domestic ATF Supply Potential, based on
Existing Refineries and their expansion
New Refineries and their expansion

Outlook on ATF demand (2017-2030), based on
Existing ATF consumption
Future ATF demand potential covering:
- Growth in existing ATF consumption
- New Demand from new routes/regional connectivity airport terminals

ATF Gap Analysis
Overall Demand-Supply Gap on a state wise as well as pan-India basis
Outlook on ATF imports potential

ATF Supply Chain Outlook for New Regional Airport Terminals (State wise analysis)
High-level outlook on distance between nearest refinery with ATF production capacity tthe regional airport
Proximity tnearest ATF/Petroleum Product Pipeline from the regional airport
High-level mapping of regional airport ATF supply-chain challenges & opportunities

Conclusion

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