Consumer durables is a cataloguing of consumer goods that are not essential to be bought very often as they are fashioned in a way so as to last for an extended period of time. Profits in the consumer durables sector were most profoundly…
BMI View: Guatemala's infrastructure industry will slow in 2016 and 2017 as the fallout from the
corruption scandal surrounding former president Otto Pérez Molina continues to weigh on public sector
capacity to implement projects. Growth will remain muted over the long term as Jimmy Morales, the new
president, lacks the experience and political support to quickly pass reforms.
? We maintain our expectation for construction industry growth to slow - with 1.8% forecast for 2016 - as
the fallout from the corruption scandal continues to weigh on institutional capacity and the overall
? Our view that the corruption scandal will negatively impact project development is now beginning to play
out, with the future of the USD252mn Puerto Quetzal Container Terminal concession in question under
new President Jimmy Morales.
? Much-needed reforms will not be implemented quickly as Morales lacks the legislative support and
political experience to push measures through. As such, we expect continued muted growth, with average
annual real growth of 2.2% expected over our 10-year forecast to 2025.
? Over the long term, construction as a percentage of GDP will fall gradually from 3.9% in 2016 to 3.3% in