Greece Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 68

BMI View: Cheese production will see buoyant growth in the coming years due to strong export

opportunities, while sugar will remain on a declining trend as competition is set to increase in the EU.

Poultry consumption will still outperform the livestock sector due to its lower cost, providing a modest push

to corn production towards the end of our forecast period to 2020. As the Greek economy finds relative

stability, our forecasts remain largely unchanged from our last quarterly update. However, we have

upgraded our forecast for poultry production while downgrading our predictions for pork and beef output.

Key Forecasts

- Poultry consumption from 2016 to 2020: up 17.6% to 208,200 tonnes. The cheaper price of poultry

meat means it will still gain ground against beef and pork. However, we do not expect poultry to overtake

either beef or pork in consumption by the end of our forecast period. In 2017, we expect poultry

consumption to exceed production for the first time.

- Cheese production to 2020: up 18.2% to 233,530 tonnes. Solid export opportunities will lead the way

in keeping the dairy segment supported.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 0.2% (from an estimated contraction of 0.2% in 2015, expected to grow

by 1.2% on average over 2016-2020).

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.5% (up from an estimated deflation of 1.1% in 2015).

- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD13.3bn in 2016, up by 1.6% on 2015 level of

USD13.1bn.

Greece Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Greece - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 15
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 16
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 16
Dairy Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Greece - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 21
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 21
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 21
Livestock Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: Greece - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 26
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 26
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 26
Sugar Outlook 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Greece - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 27
Table: Risks To Outlook 27
Structural Trends 28
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 30
Commodities Price Analysis 31
Commodities Forecasts 31
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 31
Upstream Analysis 33
Europe Machinery Outlook 33
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 36
Europe GM Outlook 39
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 46
Downstream Analysis 52
Food 52
Latest Updates 52
Structural Trends 53
Table: Food Sales (Greece 2013-2020) 54
Regional Overview 56
Europe Regional Overview 56
Demographic Data 62
Demographic Forecast 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Greece 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Greece 1990-2025) 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Greece 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Greece 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Greece 1990-2025) 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Sector-Specific Methodology 68

List of Tables

Table: Greece - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Greece - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Greece - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Greece - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Greece 2012-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Table: Food Sales (Greece 2013-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Greece 1990-2025)
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