Global Power Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 55

BMI View: Global electricity generation capacity will grow by an annual average of 3% over the next

decade. Thermal capacity (coal-, gas- and oil-fired facilities) will continue to dominate the global capacity

mix. The share of nuclear and hydropower in the power mix will remain stable, renewables will grow at the

most rapid pace, accounting for 18% of total generation capacity in 2025, up from 11% in 2016.

- Within the thermal power segment, coal will retain its status as the dominant fuel for electricity

generation, despite strong growth in gas and renewables generation and global commitments to fighting

climate change. We maintain that investment in coal will remain resilient as growth in emerging markets

(particularly in Asia) offsets a decline in coal-fired capacity in North America and Western Europe.

- While we expect strong growth in electricity consumption in Asia and MENA in particular, this is

counterbalanced by stagnant or even falling demand for electricity in developed markets over the next

decade. Consumption in NAWE will be constrained by improved energy efficiency, as well as growth in

distributed generation, batteries, advances in smart technology and smart grids, and widespread

deployment of supply and demand management measures.

Global Power Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Global Power Headline Forecasts 5
Global Forecast Analysis 7
Global Overview: Power And Renewables 7
Industry Trends 13
Global - Global Power Consumption: Per Capita Patterns In Four Key Charts 13
Renewables Auctions To Become More Widespread, Favour Big Companies 18
Table: Lowest Bids For Solar Projects In Notable Recent Renewables Auctions 22
Battery Storage: Multi-Sector Disruption Potential 24
Table: Battery Storage Overview: A Plethora Of Technologies 24
Global Company Strategy 28
Spain - Iberdrola: Well Placed To Weather Brexit 28
France - EDF: Renewables Bright Spot Amid Continued Uncertainty Elsewhere 36
Table: EDF - H1 2016 Key Financial Results 37
Price Forecasts 42
Gas Price Rally Ready To Fizzle Out 42
Table: BMI's Henry Hub And NBP Price Forecasts 42
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 50
Methodology And Sources 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

List of Tables

Table: Global Power Headline Forecasts
Table: Lowest Bids For Solar Projects In Notable Recent Renewables Auctions
Table: Battery Storage Overview: A Plethora Of Technologies
Table: EDF - H1 2016 Key Financial Results
Table: BMI's Henry Hub And NBP Price Forecasts
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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