Global Gold Metals Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 68

BMI View: We expect gold prices to continue edging higher in the coming quarters, as weak economic

growth and higher inflation keep real interest rates low in major developed markets. We have slightly

raised our 2017 average price forecast from USD1,350/oz to USD1,400/oz. The gold price rally in 2016

and improving multi-year price outlook will spur miners to ramp up production over the coming quarters.

Price Forecast:

? We expect gold prices to continue edging higher in the coming quarters, as weak economic growth and

higher inflation keep real interest rates low in major developed markets. We have slightly raised our 2017

average price forecast from USD1,350/oz to USD1,400/oz.

Mine Production:

? Global gold mine output growth will pick up over the coming quarters, supported by higher gold prices.

Following a number of upward revisions to gold production forecasts based on stronger-than-expected

H116 data, we now expect global gold output to climb from 100 million ounces (moz) in 2016 to 110moz

by 2020, averaging 2.7% annual growth. This represents a slight deceleration in growth rate compared

the previous five-year average of 3.2%.

? Major Chinese firms will ramp up investment in foreign gold mines, as the country's gold demand growth

far outpaces that of production. In 2015, China set up a new USD16.0bn mining fund to develop gold

mining projects along the planned Silk Road infrastructure route. The fund's biggest initial shareholders

are Shandong Gold Group (35%) and Shaanxi Gold Group (25%). In July 2016, the fund, along with

China National Gold Group reportedly began talks with Glencore on purchasing the Vasilkovskoye mine

in Kazakhstan for approximately USD2.0bn.

Global Gold Metals Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: BMI Gold Forecasts 7
Price Forecast: 7
Mine Production: 7
Price Forecast 8
Global - Gold: Weaker Growth Outlook Bolsters Bullish View 8
Table: BMI Gold Price Forecast 8
Table: Potential Gold Price Scenarios 14
Mine Supply: Gold Ore 16
Global - Gold: Ramping Up Output On Stronger Prices 16
Table: Global - Key Gold Projects 21
Table: Global Gold Mine Production Forecasts (moz) 22
Competitive Landscape 23
Table: Largest Listed Gold Miners By Market Capitalisation Financial Data, 2015 27
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 28
Company Profile 29
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q4 2016 29
Table: Gold Price Forecast 31
Company Strategy 33
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 35
Barrick Gold - Q4 2016 36
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 38
Company Strategy 40
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Projects 41
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Financial Data 42
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 43
Freeport-McMoRan - Q4 2016 43
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 45
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data 49
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015 50
Global Company Strategy - Newmont Mining - Q4 2016 50
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 52
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Projects 56
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data 56
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 57
Global Company Strategy - Randgold Resources - Q4 2016 58
Table: Gold Price Forecast 60
Company Analysis 60
Table: Select Gold Companies Data 62
Latest Financial Results 64
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data 66
Data Appendix 67
Appendix 67
Table: BMI Gold Forecasts 67
Table: Gold Mine Production Forecasts 67
Methodology 68
Cross Checks 68

List of Tables

Table: BMI Gold Forecasts
Table: BMI Gold Price Forecast
Table: Potential Gold Price Scenarios
Table: Global - Key Gold Projects
Table: Global Gold Mine Production Forecasts (moz)
Table: Largest Listed Gold Miners By Market Capitalisation Financial Data, 2015
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Gold Price Forecast
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Projects
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Financial Data
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Projects
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Gold Price Forecast
Table: Select Gold Companies Data
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data
Table: BMI Gold Forecasts
Table: Gold Mine Production Forecasts
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