Global Copper Metals Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 21-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 79

BMI View: Copper prices will continue to underperform due to a cooling demand outlook in China and

persistent oversupply in the coming quarters. As such, we have lowered our 2016 and 2017 price forecasts

to USD4,750/tonne and USD4,900/tonne, respectively.

Price Forecast

? We have revised down our copper price forecast to USD4,750/tonne from USD4,900/tonne in 2016 and

to USD4,950/tonne from USD5,000/tonne in 2017, as strong production growth in H116 exacerbates the

oversupply. We expect copper prices to rise only marginally to USD5,400/tonne by 2020, as the global

market gradually tightens, in line with our broader view for metal prices to stabilise rather than stage a

rebound.

Global Copper Metals Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
BMI View 7
Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts 7
Price Forecast 9
Global - Copper: Underperformance To Continue 9
Table: BMI Copper Forecasts 9
Table: Global Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts 15
Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade 16
Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts 17
Table: Refined Copper Production Forecasts 19
Table: Refined Copper Consumption Forecasts 24
Mine Supply: Copper Ore 26
Mine Supply 26
Table: Global - Key Copper Projects 33
Table: Global Copper Production Forecasts ('000 tonnes) 35
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: Largest Listed Copper Producers By Market Capitalisation, 2015 42
Table: Operational Highlights - Key Copper Producers, 2015 42
Company Profile 44
Global Company Strategy - Glencore 44
Table: Selected Commodities - Price Forecasts 46
Company Analysis 46
Table: Glencore - Key Projects 50
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data 52
Global Company Strategy - Grupo México - Q4 2016 53
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 54
Company Background 54
Company Strategy 57
Table: Grupo México - Key Financial Data 58
Table: Copper - Operational Highlights, 2015 59
Freeport-McMoRan - Q4 2016 60
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 62
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data 66
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015 67
Antofagasta - Q4 2016 68
Table: Antofagasta - Key Financial Data 70
Codelco - Q4 2016 71
Table: Codelco - Key Financial Data 73
Data Appendix 74
Appendix 74
Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts 74
Table: Refined Copper Production Forecasts 75
Table: Refined Copper Consumption Forecasts 75
Methodology 79
Cross Checks 79

List of Tables

Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Table: BMI Copper Forecasts
Table: Global Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Table: Refined Copper Production Forecasts
Table: Refined Copper Consumption Forecasts
Table: Global - Key Copper Projects
Table: Global Copper Production Forecasts ('000 tonnes)
Table: Largest Listed Copper Producers By Market Capitalisation, 2015
Table: Operational Highlights - Key Copper Producers, 2015
Table: Selected Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Glencore - Key Projects
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Grupo México - Key Financial Data
Table: Copper - Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015
Table: Antofagasta - Key Financial Data
Table: Codelco - Key Financial Data
Table: Global - Copper Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Table: Refined Copper Production Forecasts
Table: Refined Copper Consumption Forecasts
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