Ghana Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 84

BMI View: New production at TEN and Sankofa fields, as well as increasing output from the country's

flagship Jubilee field will nearly double Ghana's oil and gas production by 2020. The country's prospective

offshore and the ongoing exploration activities present a further upside risk to our production forecast.

However, our outlook for Ghana's downstream sector remains bearish due to ageing and inefficient

infrastructure, and we expect only minor production additions over the coming decade.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- During 2015-2025, we forecast Ghana's oil reserves to decrease by 9.1% from an estimated 700mn bbl to

636mn bbl. Gas reserves will also decline, shrinking from an estimated 22.7bcm in 2015 to 22.5bcm in

2025.

- We forecast Ghana's crude oil and liquids production to increase by 15% to 125,580b/d in 2016. The

output will peak at 215,170b/d in 2020, before declining marginally till the end of our forecast period in

2025.

Ghana Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Ghana 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil & Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Tano Basin Blocks Exploration, 2007-2013 12
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Ghana Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Ghana 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Ghana 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Gas Production (Ghana 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Production (Ghana 2020-2025) 23
Refining 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Ghana 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Ghana 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Ghana 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Ghana 2020-2025) 34
Gas Consumption 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Gas Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Consumption (Ghana 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Crude Oil 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2020) 39
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025) 39
Refined Fuels 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2019) 41
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025) 41
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 42
Latest Updates 42
Structural Trends 42
Table: Gas Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2019) 44
Table: Gas Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025) 44
Industry Risk Reward Index 45
Africa - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 45
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 48
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 51
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 51
Ghana - Risk/Reward Index 54
Upstream Index 54
Downstream Index 55
Market Overview 56
Ghana Energy Market Overview 56
Regulatory Overview 56
Licensing Regime 57
Table: Ghana Model Petroleum Agreement Main Licensing Terms 57
Fiscal Regime 57
Table: Ghana Model Petroleum Agreement Main Licensing Terms 57
Licensing Rounds 58
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 59
Oil Refineries 59
Table: Ghana Oil Refineries 59
Oil Storage Facilities 59
Table: Ghana Main Oil Storage Facilities 59
Oil Trade Facilities 60
Table: Ghana Main Oil Trade Facilities 60
LNG Terminals 60
Table: Ghana Main LNG Terminals 60
Competitive Landscape 61
Competitive Landscape Summary 61
Table: Key Players - Ghana Energy Sector 62
Table: Key Upstream Players 62
Table: Key Downstream Player 62
Company Profile 63
Tullow Oil 63
Table: Major Company Upstream Assets in Ghana 64
Table: Key Financial Data 64
GNPC 65
Table: GNPC Major Upstream Assets In Ghana 66
Table: Key Financial Data 66
Regional Overview 67
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 67
Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 76
Glossary 77
Table: Glossary Of Terms 77
Methodology 79
Industry Forecast Methodology 79
Source 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 81
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 83
Table: Weighting 84

List of Tables

Table: Headline Forecasts (Ghana 2014-2020)
Table: Tano Basin Blocks Exploration, 2007-2013
Table: Ghana Upstream Projects
Table: Oil Production (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Production (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Ghana 2020-2025)
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Ghana Model Petroleum Agreement Main Licensing Terms
Table: Ghana Model Petroleum Agreement Main Licensing Terms
Table: Ghana Oil Refineries
Table: Ghana Main Oil Storage Facilities
Table: Ghana Main Oil Trade Facilities
Table: Ghana Main LNG Terminals
Table: Key Players - Ghana Energy Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Player
Table: Major Company Upstream Assets in Ghana
Table: Key Financial Data
Table: GNPC Major Upstream Assets In Ghana
Table: Key Financial Data
Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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