Ghana Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 07-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 38

BMI View: Ghana's construction industry will record positive growth over our 10-year forecast of

2016-2025 as the narrowing budget deficit enables the government to direct significant expenditure into key

infrastructure, notably transport and energy. The inadequate power supply and allegations of government

corruption remain chief deterrents to operating in the market.

Forecast & Industry Developments

? We continue to forecast 2.1% real growth in Ghana's construction industry over 2016, as an improved

macroeconomic environment supports investment into infrastructure development.

? Over our full forecast period between 2016 and 2025 we project annual average growth of 6.2% in real

terms. The main drivers of growth will be investment into port infrastructure, as Ghana works to sustain

its strong transport logistics profile; energy infrastructure to tackle the power deficit; and developments in

commercial construction, as demand grows for formal retail space on the back of increased essentials

spending.

? Renewable energy projects - as a short-term diversification strategy to improve the overall power supply -

is receiving major support from the government, which is eager to leverage private investment into the

sector.

? The constrained power supply continues to a major hindrance for construction companies operating in the

country, which face supply chain disruptions and increased business costs.

Ghana Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Ghana 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2016-2025) 9
Table: Major Power Projects By Value, USDmn 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Ghana - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 21
Rewards 21
Risks 21
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 22
Table: SSA RRI 30
Methodology 31
Industry Forecast Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 36
Sector-Specific Methodology 37
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 37
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 38

List of Tables

Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2016-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Ghana 2016)
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2016-2025)
Table: Major Power Projects By Value, USDmn
Table: SSA RRI
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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