Germany Renewables Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 59

BMI View: We maintain our upbeat outlook for the German non-hydropower renewables sector, as the

introduction of capacity auctions - while slowing down growth in the short-term - will help reduce cost of

new capacity and ensure that new intermittent power generating capacity can be integrated into the power

grid without jeopardising the stability of power supply. Over the long term, these cost-reductions and the

improved integration of capacity will cement renewables importance in the power mix, particularly as other

power sectors stagnate and the backlog of expensive renewables subsidies is phased out.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? Germany will introduce competitive auctions in the renewables sector from January 2017, as the EEG

2017 was passed through the German parliament in July 2016. The new mechanism will be introduced on

the back of a series of solar power pilot auctions over 2015, that are meant to help the government better

calibrate the new system. The amount of capacity awarded in auctions will be capped in order to ensure

that new capacity can be integrated into the grid system without jeopardising the stability of the power

supply. While this will slow growth over the short-to-medium term, we believe it will be a strong positive

for the sector over the longer term, as costs decrease and new technologies that can support renewables

integration gain traction in the country (like automated demand-response measures and battery storage).

Germany Renewables Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Germany 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 13
Table: Total Annual Capacity Offered In Pilot Auctions 29
Table: Steady Decline In Bidding Prices 30
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019) 32
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025) 32
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019) 33
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025) 34
Germany Renewables Projects Database 36
Table: Germany - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 41
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 41
Emissions 41
Renewables 42
Subsidies 42
Infrastructure 44
Competitive Landscape 48
E.ON 48
RWE 50
Vattenfall 50
DONG Energy 51
Siemens 51
Glossary 53
Table: Glossary Of Terms 53
Methodology 54
Methodology And Sources 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Indicators 59

List of Tables

Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Germany 2015-2021)
Table: Total Annual Capacity Offered In Pilot Auctions
Table: Steady Decline In Bidding Prices
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025)
Table: Germany - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Indicators
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