Future of the Romanian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

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Date: 27-Jul-2013
No. of pages: 126
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Synopsis

This report is the result of SDI’s extensive market and company research covering the Romanian defense industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.

Introduction and Landscape

Why was the report written?

The Future of the Romanian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain a market share in the Romanian defense industry.

What is the current market landscape and what is changing?

Romanian defense expenditure increased at a CAGR of -6.59% during the review period and values US$1.7 billion in 2013. The focus of the Romanian government will be on modernization plans constituting the procurement of more advanced military equipment with improved technology; active participation in NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) along with joint operations with other countries; participation in peacekeeping missions; and participation in border security measures.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?

Modernization of military equipment with improved technology; active participation in NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) along with joint operations with other countries; participation in peacekeeping missions; and participation in border security measures.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?

The Future of the Romanian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.

Key Features and Benefits

  • The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators, and also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
  • The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the Romanian defense industry.
  • The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are expected to develop in the future.
  • The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
  • The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Romanian. It provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Key Market Issues

  • The Romanian economy went in to a deep recession in 2008 jeopardizing the growth it had witnessed in earlier years. Following the global financial crisis, EU and NATO countries decided to reduce their military spending. The crisis led European states to take measures such as decommissioning 160,000 soldiers during 2009-2011, to maintain effective armed forces in times of economic austerity. The Romanian government also announced various unpopular austerity measures including public sector restructuring, spending cuts for the interior and defense ministries, and expenditure cuts, including a 25% cut in public wages and 15% drop in pension and social benefits in the 2010 budget.
  • Eastern European countries, including Romania, have historically featured high levels of corruption. After gaining membership in the EU and NATO, Romania introduced important economic and legislative measures to attract foreign capital, and adopted legislation to reduce corruption, for example, legislation requiring politicians to disclose information about their assets, a law governing conflicts of interest for government officials, and a law regulating the financing of political parties.

Key Highlights

  • Many international defense equipment manufacturers enter the Romanian market through acquisitions and alliances. The privatization of the Romanian defense industry provides foreign OEMs with further opportunities to enter the market. Market entry through the acquisition of a domestic company is a popular entry route into the Romanian defense industry, and many companies have followed this route.
  • Since 2005, Romania has been a member of the EDA. The agency promotes arms co-operation and has created a common platform for the promotion of the European defense equipment market. The EDA provides an electronic bulletin board for government contracts and provides an opportunity for suppliers across Europe to bid for defense contracts advertised by subscribing member states. Defense companies from member nations are able to register and be the first to be notified of a potential purchase request from other member nations. In the circumstance that a defense company from a member nation wishes to make defense procurement, they advertise their requirements, ranging from technology to components, on the bulletin board, providing registered suppliers with market opportunities.
  • Romania imports the majority of its defense equipment from the US, Germany, Israel, and ltaly. The US held the highest share of the total arms imports during 2008-2012 with 41.6%. The other three major import partners: Germany, Israel, and Italy collectively accounted for 50% of Romania’s total arms imports during the review period. The remaining portion of imports is accounted for by Canada, Switzerland, France, Norway, and Spain.

Future of the Romanian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

Table Of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Romanian defense spend expected to register significant growth by 2018
3.1.2. Participation in peacekeeping missions, joint operations and border control measures will support defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP projected to decline over the forecast period
3.1.4. Per capita defense spending forecast to grow over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Revenue expenditure accounts for majority of defense expenditure
3.2.3. Defense related expenditure to grow with positive CAGR during the forecast period
3.2.4. Expenditure on national security to register growth during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security budget projected to grow steadily during the forecast period
3.3.2. Restructuring organizations and illegal immigration to drive homeland security budget
3.3.3. The nation is at “some risk” of terrorism
3.3.4. Romania has a terrorism index score of 0.1
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. The country is expected to remain a small competitor in the international defense market
3.4.2. Romanian military expenditure is modest compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure
3.4.3. The country allocates a lower percentage of GDP towards defense than other NATO members
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Border Security:
3.5.2. Maritime Security:
3.5.3. Air Defense Missile Systems:
3.5.4. Airborne C2C4ISR:
3.5.5. Cyber Security:

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Lack of advanced technology drives imports
4.1.2. Defense imports registered a decline during 2008-2012
4.1.3. The US, Germany, Italy, and Israel account for the majority of the country's defense imports
4.1.4. Sensors account for majority of arms imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Defense exports anticipated to grow during the forecast period
4.2.2. Ships are the most exported defense goods

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of Supplier: Low to Medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Medium to High
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low to high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy mandates suppliers invest a minimum of 80% of the contract value into the Romanian economy
6.1.2. Romania allows 100% foreign direct investment in defense sector
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs enter the market through acquisition of domestic defense companies
6.2.2. EDA promotes defense procurements within EU
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Defense budget cuts impede the growth of defense industry
6.3.2. Rampant corruption and inadequate legal infrastructure
6.3.3. Foreign competition hampers the domestic defense industry

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. CN Romarm SA: overview
7.2.2. CN Romarm SA: products and services
7.2.3. CN Romarm SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. CN Romarm SA: alliances
7.2.5. CN Romarm SA.: recent contract wins
7.2.6. S.C. Uzina Mecanica Cugir S.A: overview
7.2.7. S.C. UZINA MECANICA CUGIR S.A: products and services
7.2.8. S.C. Uzina Mecanica Cugir S.A: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Aerostar S.A: overview
7.2.10. Aerostar S.A.: products and services
7.2.11. Aerostar S.A: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.12. Aerostar S.A: alliances
7.2.13. Aerostar S.A: recent contract wins
7.2.14. IAR S.A. Brasov: overview
7.2.15. IAR S.A. Brasov: products and services
7.2.16. IAR S.A. Brasov: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.17. IAR S.A. Brasov: recent contract wins
7.2.18. IAR S.A. Brasov: financial analysis
7.2.19. Turbomecanica S.A.: overview
7.2.20. Turbomecanica S.A: products and services
7.2.21. Turbomecanica S.A.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.22. Turbomecanica S.A.: financial analysis
7.2.23. Electromagnetica SA: overview
7.2.24. Electromagnetica SA: products and services
7.2.25. Electromagnetica SA: recent contracts and strategic initiatives
7.2.26. Avioane Craiova S.A: overview
7.2.27. Avioane Craiova S.A. (SAIC): products and services
7.2.28. Avioane Craiova S.A: recent contracts and strategic initiatives
7.2.29. Avioane Craiova S.A: alliances
7.2.30. Avioane Craiova S.A: recent contract wins
7.2.31. Elprof S.A: overview
7.2.32. Elprof S.A.: products and services
7.2.33. Elprof S.A.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3. Domestic Private Companies
7.3.1. IOR S.A: overview
7.3.2. IOR S.A: products and services
7.3.3. IOR S.A: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Simultec S.R.L: overview
7.3.5. Simultec S.R.L: products and services
7.3.6. Simultec S.R.L: recent contracts and strategic initiatives
7.3.7. Simultec S.R.L: Recent Contract Wins
7.3.8. Intelcan Technosystems: overview
7.3.9. Intelcan Technosystems, Inc: products and services
7.3.10. Intelcan Technosystems, Inc.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.11. Intelcan Technosystems Inc: recent contracts
7.3.12. S.C. Eurocopter Romania SA: overview
7.3.13. S.C Eurocopter Romania SA: products and services
7.3.14. S.C Eurocopter Romania SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.15. S.C Eurocopter Romania SA: Recent Contract Wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Overall Life Expectancy
8.1.4. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.4. Consumer Price Index
8.2.5. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.6. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2.7. Lending Rate
8.2.8. Real Interest Rate
8.2.9. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.10. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.11. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.12. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.16. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.17. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.18. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.19. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.20. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.6. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.7. Electricity Imports
8.3.8. Electricity Exports
8.3.9. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.10. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.11. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Rail Lines
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.4.3. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and Development Expenditure
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
8.7.3. Mobile Cellular Subscriptions
8.7.4. Mobile Cellular Subscriptions Penetration Rate

9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List Of Tables

Table 1: Romanian Defense Expenditure Splits, 2009-2013
Table 2: Romanian Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018
Table 3: Romanian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2009-2013
Table 4: Romanian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2018
Table 5: Romanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Table 6: Romanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018
Table 7: Romanian Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion)
Table 8: Romanian Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 9: Romanian  Defense Related Expenditure as Percentage of Defense Budget, 2009-2013
Table 10: Romanian  Expenditure on National Security Expenditure as Percentage of Defense Budget, 2009-2013
Table 11: Romanian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 12: Romanian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 13: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Table 14: Offset Regulations in Romania
Table 15: CN Romarm SA - Product Focus
Table 16: CN Romarm SA - Alliances
Table 17: CN Romarm SA. - Recent Contract Wins
Table 18: S.C. UZINA MECANICA CUGIR S.A - Product Focus
Table 19: Aerostar S.A - product focus
Table 20: Aerostar S.A - Alliances
Table 21: Aerostar - Recent Contract Wins
Table 22: IAR S.A. Brasov - product focus
Table 23: IAR S.A. Brasov - Recent Contract Wins
Table 24: Turbomecanica S.A - Product Focus
Table 25: Electromagnetica SA- Product Focus
Table 26: Avioane Craiova S.A - Product Focus
Table 27: Avioane Craiova S.A - Alliances
Table 28: Avioane Craiova S.A - Recent Contract Wins
Table 29: Elprof S.A. - product focus
Table 30: IOR S.A - Product Focus
Table 31: Simultec S.R.L - Product Focus
Table 32: Simultec S.R.L - Recent Contract Wins
Table 33: Intelcan Technosystems, Inc. - Product Focus
Table 34: Intelcan Technosystems, Inc. - Alliances
Table 35: S.C Eurocopter Romania SA - Product Focus
Table 36: S.C Eurocopter Romania - Recent Contracts

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Romanian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 2: Romanian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2018
Figure 3: Romanian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2009-2013
Figure 4: Romanian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as  Percentage of GDP, 2013-2017
Figure 5: Romanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Figure 6: Romanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018
Figure 7: Romanian Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion),  2009-2013
Figure 8:Romanian Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 9: Romanian  Defense Related Expenditure as Percentage of Defense Budget, 2009-2013
Figure 10: Romanian  Expenditure on National Security Expenditure as Percentage of Defense  Budget, 2009-2013
Figure 11: Romanian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Figure 12: Romanian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 13: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2013
Figure 14: SDI Terrorism Index, 2013
Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Figure 16: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2013 and 2018
Figure 17: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2013
Figure 18: Border Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 19: Maritime Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 20: Air Defense Missile Systems Market Size (US$ Million), 2013-2022
Figure 21: Airborne C2C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 22: Cyber Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2012-2022
Figure 23: Romanian Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2008-2012
Figure 24: Romanian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2008-2012
Figure 25: Romanian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2008-2012
Figure 26: Romanian Defense exports (US$ Million), 2008-2012
Figure 27: Romanian Defense Exports by Country (%), 2008-2012
Figure 28: Romanian Defense Exports by Category (%),2008-2012
Figure 29: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 30: Aerostar - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 31: Aerostar - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 32: Aerostar - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 33: IAR S.A. Brasov:  - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 34: IAR S.A. Brasov - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 35: IAR S.A. Brasov - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 36:Turbomecanica S.A.: Revenue Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 37: Turbomecanica S.A.: Operating Profit/Loss Trend Analysis (USD million), 2008-2012
Figure 38: Romanian Rural Population (In Millions), 2009-2018
Figure 39: Romanian Urban Population (In Millions), 2009-2018
Figure 40: Romanian Overall Life Expectancy , 2009-2018
Figure 41: Romanian Number of Households (In Millions), 2009-2018
Figure 42: Romanian GDP Per Capita, 2009-2018
Figure 43: Romanian GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2009-2018
Figure 44: Romanian Consumer Price Index, 2009-2018
Figure 45: Romanian Wholesale Price Index, 2004-2013
Figure 46: Local Currency per Euro, 2009-2018
Figure 47: Lending Rate, 2004-2013
Figure 48: Real Interest Rate, 2004-2013
Figure 49: Romanian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2004-2013
Figure 50: Romanian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2004-2013
Figure 51: Romanian Government Cash Surplus/Deficit (LCU Billion), 2004-2012
Figure 52: Romanian Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2004-2012
Figure 53: Romanian Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2004-2013
Figure 54: Romanian Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2004-2013
Figure 55: Romanian Service Imports as % of GDP, 2004-2013
Figure 56: Romanian Service Exports as % of GDP, 2004-2013
Figure 57: Romanian Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2004-2013
Figure 58: Romanian Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2004-2013
Figure 59: Romanian International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2004-2013
Figure 60: Romanian Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 61: Romanian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 62: Romanian Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 63: Romanian Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts),    2003-2012
Figure 64: Romanian Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 65: Romanian Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 66: Romanian Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 67: Romanian Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2004-2013
Figure 68: Romanian Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 69: Romanian Rail Lines (kms), 2003-2012
Figure 70: Romanian Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2003-2012
Figure 71: Romanian Overall Construction (US$ Billion), 2009-2018
Figure 72: Romanian Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2004-2013
Figure 73: Romanian Research and Development Expenditure, 2002-2011
Figure 74: Romanian Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 75: Romanian Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2004-2013
Figure 76: Romanian Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (In Million), 2004-2013
Figure 77: Romanian Mobile Cellular Subscriptions Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2004-2013

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