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Future of the Jordanian Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Date: 04-Jun-2018
No. of pages: 86
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Summary

The Future of the Jordanian Defense Industry Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Jordanian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -


  • The Jordanian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Jordanian defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns

  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years

  • Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years

  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Jordanian defense industry.


Scope


  • Jordan’s defense expenditure rose from US$1.6 billion in 2014 to US$2 billion in 2018, at a CAGR of 6.66% due to the country’s precarious security environment, aggravated by the responsibility of hosting a large refugee population.

  • Attempts to modernize its military equipment will therefore drive its defense expenditure over the forecast period, which is projected to rise from US$2.1 billion in 2019 to US$2.6 billion by 2023, at a CAGR of 5.60%.

  • Jordan will maintain its budget allocation for capital expenditure at an average of 3.3% over the forecast period, with the US providing military aid.


Reasons to buy


  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Jordanian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

  • Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Jordanian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers,Key Trends and latest industry contracts

Future of the Jordanian Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 7
1.1. What is this Report About? 7
1.2. Definitions 7
1.3. Summary Methodology 9
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 11

2. Executive Summary 12

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 14
3.1. Current Market Scenario 15
3.1.1. Primary threat perception 15
3.1.2. Military doctrine and strategy 16
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 17
3.1.4. Procurement Programs 21
3.1.5. Top Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 23
3.1.6. Social, political, and economic environment and support for defense projects 24
3.1.7. Political and strategic alliances 24
3.2. Defense Market Size - Historical and Forecast 25
3.2.1. Jordanian defense budget, excluding US, aid to post a CAGR of 6.91% over the forecast period 25
3.2.2. Jordanian aggregate defense expenditure - inclusive of US military aid - will post a forecast-period CAGR of 5.60% 27
3.2.3. Hostility among neighboring countries and foreign military aid to drive defense expenditure 30
3.2.4. Jordanian defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to average 3.9% over the forecast period 31
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 33
3.3.1. Revenue expenditure to continue to take precedence over capital expenditure 33
3.3.2. Financial Aid from the US contributes a major share of the country’s capital expenditure 35
3.3.3. The country’s capital budget allocations else remain low 36
3.3.4. Per capita defense expenditure to grow over the forecast period 38
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 39
3.4.1. Homeland security expenditure to post a forecast-period CAGR of 3.76% 39
3.4.2. Internal conflicts and unauthorized activities in refugee camps will be the key factors driving HLS expenditure 41
3.4.3. Jordan considered at ‘moderate risk’ of terrorism 42
3.4.4. Jordan faces a moderate level of threat from terrorist organizations 43
3.4.5. Jordan has a terrorism index score of 3.8 45
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 46
3.5.1. Jordan ranks among the lowest defense spending countries in the world 46
3.5.2. Jordan’s defense spending will remain minimal when compared to regional peer Saudi Arabia 48
3.5.3. Jordan ranks low in terms of defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP 49
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Simulators 50
3.6.1. Top 10 defense market sectors by value, 2018-2023 50
3.6.2. Corvettes MRO 51
3.6.3. Survivability modernization 52
3.6.4. Soft body armor 53

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 54
4.1. Import Market Dynamics 56
4.1.1. The majority of Jordan’s military equipment is generated through foreign imports 56
4.1.2. The Netherlands, the US, and Belgium were the dominant suppliers of defense equipment to Jordan 57
4.1.3. Aircraft and missiles dominated Jordan’s defense imports 58
4.2. Export Market Dynamics 59
4.2.1. Defense exports expected to grow over the forecast period 59
4.2.2. Pakistan and the US accounted for the largest shares of Jordan’s total defense exports 60
4.2.3. Defense exports include aircraft and armored vehicles 61

5. Industry Dynamics 62
5.1. Five Forces Analysis 62
5.1.1. Bargaining power of suppliers: high 63
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyers: low 63
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium 63
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium 63
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium 63

6. Market Entry Strategy 64
6.1. Market Regulation 64
6.1.1. The government allows FDI in the defense industry with stipulations 64
6.1.2. Jordan does not impose any offset obligations 64
6.2. Market Entry Route 65
6.2.1. Budgeting Process 65
6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 65
6.2.3. Government-to-government deals are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 65
6.2.4. Joint ventures and technology transfer form attractive entry routes for foreign manufacturers 66
6.3. Key Challenges 67
6.3.1. Small defense budget hinders the entry of foreign companies in Jordan 67
6.3.2. Corruption acts as an obstacle for market entry 67

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 68
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 68
7.1.1. Jordanian defense industry is dominated by foreign competitors 69
7.2. Key Domestic Companies 70
7.2.1. KADDB: Overview 70
7.2.2. KADDB: products and services 70
7.2.3. KADDB: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 70
7.2.4. KADDB: Alliances 71

8. Business Environment and Country Risk 72
8.1. Economic Performance 72
8.1.1. GDP per capita 72
8.1.2. Gross domestic product 73
8.1.3. Export of goods and services (LCU Billion) 74
8.1.4. Import of goods and services 75
8.1.5. Gross national disposable income 76
8.1.6. LCU per US$ (period average) 77
8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies 78
8.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies as a percentage of GDP 79
8.1.9. Total government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP 80
8.1.10. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP 81
8.1.11. Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP 82
8.1.12. Services Imports as a percentage of GDP 83
8.1.13. Services exports as a percentage of GDP 84
8.1.14. Mining, manufacturing, and utilities output 85

9. Appendix 86
9.1. About SDI 86
9.2. Disclaimer 86

List of Tables

Table 1: Jordan - Army Strength, 2018 17
Table 2: Jordan - Air Force Strength, 2018 19
Table 3: Jordan - Naval Strength, 2018 20
Table 4: Jordanian - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs, 2018 21
Table 5: Jordanian - Future Procurement Programs, 2018 21
Table 6: Top Jordanian Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 23
Table 7: Jordan Defense Expenditure (JOD Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 25
Table 8: Total Jordanian Defense Expenditure Including US Aid (US$ Billion ), 2014-2023 27
Table 9: Jordan - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 31
Table 10: Jordan - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 33
Table 11: Jordan - Capital Expenditure Split by Allocated Capital Expenditure and US Military Aid (US$ Million), 2014-2023 35
Table 12: Jordan - Defense Capital Budget Excluding US Aid (JOD Million / US$ Million), 2014-2023 36
Table 13: Jordanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 38
Table 14: Jordan - Homeland Security Expenditure (JOD Billion / US$ Billion / %), 2014-2023 39
Table 15: Terrorism Index, 2018 43
Table 16: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 46
Table 17: Jordan - Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 50
Table 18: Jordanian Budget Formation Timetable 65
Table 19: Jordan - Top 10 Defense Suppliers by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 68
Table 20: Jordan - Competitive Landscape, 2018 69
Table 21: KADDB - Products and Services 70
Table 22: KADDB - Alliances 71

List of Figures

Figure 1: Jordanian Defense Expenditure (JOD Billion), 2014-2023 26
Figure 2: Jordanian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 26
Figure 3: Defense Expenditure, Excluding US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 28
Figure 4: US Military Aid to Jordan (US$ Million), 2014-2023 28
Figure 5: Jordan - Defense Budget Excluding US Aid vs Jordanian Defense Expenditure Including US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 29
Figure 6: Jordan - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditures as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 32
Figure 7: Jordan - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 34
Figure 8: Jordan - Capital Expenditure Allocated vs Total Including US Military Aid (US$ Million), 2014-2023 35
Figure 9: Jordan - Allocated Defense Capital Budget (Excluding US Aid) (JOD Million), 2014-2023 37
Figure 10: Jordan - Allocated Defense Capital Budget (Excluding US Aid) (US$ Million), 2014-2023 37
Figure 11: Jordanian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 38
Figure 12: Jordanian Homeland Security Expenditure (JOD Billion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 13: Jordanian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 14: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 42
Figure 15: Terrorism Index, 2018 45
Figure 16: Benchmarking with Key Markets (US$ Billion / %), 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 47
Figure 17: Benchmarking the World’s Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 48
Figure 18: Benchmarking the Region’s Large Defense Spenders as a Percentage of GDP, 2018 49
Figure 19: Jordan - Corvettes MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 51
Figure 20: Jordan - Survivability Modernization Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 52
Figure 21: Jordan - Soft Body Armor Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 53
Figure 22: Jordan - Defense Procurements in terms of Supplier Relationships, 2018 55
Figure 23: Jordan - Defense Imports, (US$ Million), 2013-2017 56
Figure 24: Jordan - Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 57
Figure 25: Jordan - Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2013-2017 58
Figure 26: Jordanian Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2013-2017 59
Figure 27: Jordan - Defense Exports by Country (%), 2013-2017 60
Figure 28: Jordan - Defense Exports by Weapon Category (%), 2013-2017 61
Figure 29: Industry Dynamics - Porter’s Five Forces Analysis 62
Figure 30: Jordan - GDP per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 72
Figure 31: Jordan - GDP (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 73
Figure 32: Jordan - Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 74
Figure 33: Jordan - Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 75
Figure 34: Jordan - Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 76
Figure 35: Jordan - LCU per US$, 2015-2024 77
Figure 36: Jordan - Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 78
Figure 37: Jordan - Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 79
Figure 38: Jordan - Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 80
Figure 39: Jordan - Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013 81
Figure 40: Jordan -Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013 82
Figure 41: Jordan - Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013 83
Figure 42: Jordan - Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013 84
Figure 43: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 85

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