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Future of the Bruneian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Date: 10-Jul-2018
No. of pages: 62
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Future of the Bruneian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

The Future of the Bruneian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Bruneian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -

- The Bruneian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Bruneian defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Bruneian defense industry.

Scope

- Brunei's military expenditure stands at US$373.8 million in 2018 and is projected to register a CAGR of 1.89% to reach US$443.2 million by 2023.

- The country's defense expenditure is primarily driven by territorial disputes in the South China Sea, the military modernization of the Royal Brunei Armed Forces (RBAF) and the threat of terrorism.

- As a percentage of GDP, the country's defense budget is expected to register an average of 2.6% over the forecast period.

- The average allocation for capital expenditure during the historic period was 32%. Over the forecast period, it is expected to allocate an average of 32.1%.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Bruneian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Bruneian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts.

Future of the Bruneian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Table of Contents
1. Introduction 6
1.1. What is this Report About? 6
1.2. Definitions 6
1.3. Summary Methodology 8
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 9
2. Executive Summary 10
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 11
3.1. Current Market Scenario 12
3.1.1. Military Fleet Size 12
3.1.2. Procurement Programs 14
3.1.3. Key Drivers and Challenges 15
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 17
3.2.1. Brunei's defense expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.89% over the forecast period 17
3.2.2. Territorial disputes in the South China Sea, military modernization initiatives, and the threat of terrorism are expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period 19
3.2.3. Brunei's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease marginally over the forecast period 21
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 23
3.3.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period 23
3.3.2. Capital expenditure to increase at a CAGR of 1.92% over the forecast period 25
3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period 27
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 29
3.4.1. Brunei homeland security market to increase at a CAGR of 2.89% over the forecast period 29
3.4.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by human and illicit drug trafficking 31
3.4.3. Brunei faces some level of threat from terrorism 33
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 34
3.5.1. Brunei's defense budget is poised to grow over the forecast period 34
3.5.2. Brunei's defense spending is low compared to other major military spenders 36
3.5.3. Brunei allocates a significant percentage of GDP towards defense spending 37
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 38
3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections Over 2018-2023 38
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 39
4.1. Import Dynamics 40
4.1.1. Defense imports recorded a decline during 2013-2017 40
4.1.2. Brunei sourced the majority of its arms imports from the US 41
4.1.3. Naval vessels and aircraft accounted for the majority of arms imports during 2013-2017 42
4.2. Export Dynamics 43
4.2.1. Brunei does not export military hardware due to a lack of domestic manufacturing capacity 43
5. Market Entry Strategy 44
5.1. Market Regulation 44
5.1.1. Brunei has not disclosed any offset obligations imposed by the country 44
5.1.2. FDI in the defense sector is controlled entirely by the government 44
5.2. Market Entry Route 45
5.2.1. Budget Process 45
5.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 46
5.2.3. The biennial defense exhibition provides an attractive entry route 46
5.2.4. Direct commercial sales are the preferred entry route 46
5.2.5. Closer military co-operation provides an opportunity to enter the defense market 47
6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 48
6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 48
7. Business Environment and Country Risk 49
7.1. Economic Performance 49
7.1.1. GDP Per Capita 49
7.1.2. GDP, Current Prices 50
7.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services, Current Prices 51
7.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services, Current Prices 52
7.1.5. Gross National disposable income (US$ Billion) 53
7.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar 54
7.1.7. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP 55
7.1.8. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP 56
7.1.9. Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP 57
7.1.10. Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP 58
7.1.11. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, Current US$ Billion) 59
7.1.12. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 60
7.1.13. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion) 61
8. Appendix 62
8.1. About SDI 62
8.2. Disclaimer 62

List of Tables
Table 1: Brunei Land Forces Strength 12
Table 2: Brunei Navy Strength 13
Table 3: Brunei Air Force Strength 13
Table 4: Brunei Ongoing Procurement Programs 14
Table 5: Brunei Future Procurement Programs 14
Table 6: Brunei Defense Expenditure (BND Million & US$ Million), 2014-2023 17
Table 7: Brunei GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 21
Table 8: Brunei Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 23
Table 9: Brunei Defense Capital Expenditure (BND Million & US$ Million), 2014-2023 25
Table 10: Brunei Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 27
Table 11: Brunei Homeland Security Expenditure (BND Million & US$ Million), 2014-2023 29
Table 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 34
Table 13: Top 10 Brunei's Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - 2018-2023 38
Table 14: Brunei Budget Preparation Process 45
Table 15: Brunei - Competitive Landscape of Defense Industry, 2018 48

List of Figures
Figure 1: Brunei Defense Expenditure (BND Million), 2014-2023 18
Figure 2: Brunei Defense Expenditure (US$ Million), 2014-2023 18
Figure 3: Brunei GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 22
Figure 4: Brunei Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 24
Figure 5: Brunei Defense Capital Expenditure (BND Million), 2014-2023 26
Figure 6: Brunei Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Million), 2014-2023 26
Figure 7: Brunei Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 28
Figure 8: Brunei Homeland Security Budget (BND Million), 2014-2023 30
Figure 9: Brunei Homeland Security Budget (US$ Million), 2014-2023 30
Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 33
Figure 11: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 35
Figure 12: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 36
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 37
Figure 14: Brunei Defense Imports (US$ Million), 2013-2017 40
Figure 15: Brunei Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 41
Figure 16: Brunei Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2013-2017 42
Figure 17: Brunei GDP Per Capita, 2015-2025 49
Figure 18: Brunei GDP, Current Prices (in US$ Billion), 2015-2025 50
Figure 19: Brunei Exports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 51
Figure 20: Brunei Imports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 52
Figure 21: Brunei Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2010-2013 53
Figure 22: Local Currency Unit per US$ - Exchange Rate, 2015-2024 54
Figure 23: Brunei Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2009 55
Figure 24: Brunei Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2009 56
Figure 25: Brunei Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2009 57
Figure 26: Brunei Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2009 58
Figure 27: Brunei Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, Current US$ Billion), 2005-2009 59
Figure 28: Brunei Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2009 60
Figure 29: Brunei Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 61
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