Future of the Argentine Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

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Date: 27-Jul-2013
No. of pages: 111
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Synopsis

This report is the result of SDI’s extensive market and company research covering the Argentine defense industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.

Introduction and Landscape

Why was the report written?

The Future of the Argentine Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain a market share in the Argentine defense industry.

What is the current market landscape and what is changing?

Argentine defense expenditure increased at a CAGR of 15.37% during the review period and values US$4.1 billion in 2013. The focus of the Argentine government will be on the modernization of its armed forces, participation in peacekeeping operations, and the Falkland Islands dispute with the UK.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?

Modernization of its armed forces, participation in peacekeeping operations, and the Falkland Islands dispute with the UK.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?

The Future of the Argentine Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.

Key Features and Benefits

  • The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators, and also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
  • The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the Argentine defense industry.
  • The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are expected to develop in the future.
  • The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
  • The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Argentina. It provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Key Market Issues

  • The Argentine defense market has experienced a lack of investment due to the country’s budgetary constraints. Argentina’s armed forces are using obsolete defense equipment which needs to be replaced by more advanced equipment. There are many naval vessels that are not operational and need repair and maintenance, but the armed forces’ procurement plans are halted by a fluctuating defense budget. However, Argentina is receiving help from countries such as Russia and China, who are ready to replace the obsolete military equipment on credit terms. The country has also postponed many of its modernization plans such as the replacement of the Mirage III fighter in 2009, due to economic constraints. However, it is expected that the country will establish a strong defense force during the forecast period.
  • In October 2012 a naval training ship “ARA Liberated” was seized by court order from Ghana for its nonpayment of the loan to its creditors during 2001-2002. Argentina had a debt of US$100 billion in 2001 which had been restructured and 30% of the amount was paid during 2005-2010. This default background may deter many companies from investing their capital in Argentina’s defense market.

Key Highlights

  • Foreign defense companies can supply the Argentine defense market through FMS arrangements. For example, in September 2010, the Argentine government signed a contract with Russia to procure two Mi-17 helicopters for the Argentine air force. This was the first time the Argentine government purchased Russian equipment. The majority of defense purchases from the US, which is the largest supplier of arms to Argentina, are made through FMS. There are approximately US$ 25.79 million and $ 0.37 million of arms and equipment sold to Argentina through FMS in the year of 2010 and 2011 respectively.
  • Foreign defense companies can enter the Argentine defense market through technology transfers, sub-contracting agreements and long-term supply contracts, favored by Argentina’s offset policy. For example, in October 2010, Brazilian firm Embraer established a partnership with Argentina for the development of the KC-390 medium transport aircraft. Argentina is expected to join the program through the Fábrica Argentina de Aviones aerospace company and initially purchase six KC-390 aircraft. Additionally, Argentina signed an agreement with South Africa in 2010 to exchange their security technologies, participation in various joint training exercises, military health development initiatives and rescue operations in the Southern Atlantic Ocean. Moreover, the South African defense company, Paramount Group, and the Argentine company, Codesur signed an agreement in December 2012 to introduce Paramount Group’s security and land systems, and electronic and aerospace systems to Latin America.
  • With a limited domestic defense industry, Argentina imports advanced defense equipment from countries such as the US, Russia, Spain, China, Brazil, and Austria. During 2008-2012, the country imported the highest share of arms from the US, constituting 78.8% of the total arms imports. During the forecast period, the US is expected to continue to dominate the market, with China expected to enter the market through the sale of helicopters. Argentina is expected to acquire fighter aircraft, including the possibility of acquiring second-hand aircraft which would allow other European countries to enter the market.

Future of the Argentine Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

Table Of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report about?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Argentine Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Argentine defense budget forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 14.97% by 2018
3.1.2. Defense expenditure to be driven by modernization programs, contributions to international peacekeeping missions and the Falkland Islands dispute with the UK
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to reach 1.5% by 2018
3.1.4. Per capita defense spending forecast to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Revenue expenditure accounts for majority of defense expenditure
3.2.3. Argentine army enjoys the highest share of the total defense budget
3.2.4. Spending on Navy driven by new procurement plans
3.2.5. Argentine Air Force marginally increase to $ 0.9 billion over the review period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. The homeland security expenditure is increased to 3.8 in 2013
3.3.2. Illegal immigration and organized crime to drive homeland security expenditure
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Argentine defense expenditure is to increase at a CAGR of 14.97% during the forecast period
3.4.2. Argentine defense expenditure is the lowest in South America
3.4.3. Argentina's defense budget as a percentage of GDP to increase
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators:
3.5.1. Armored vehicles MRO:
3.5.2. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV):

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Argentine defense imports increased to $ 34 million by 2012
4.1.2. The US is a major arms supplier to Argentina
4.1.3. Aircraft and sensors constitute a majority of Argentine arms imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Argentina has negligible arms exports

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of Supplier: Medium to low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low to high
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low to high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry
6.1.2. Open foreign direct investment policy
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign FMS is an effective entry route for foreign defense companies
6.2.2. Technology transfers and partnerships encouraged by offset policy
6.2.3. Argentine defense industry open to foreign investment
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Defense budget constraints descends the growth of domestic defense industry
6.3.2. Country's debt default history might be an hindrance for the entrance of private investors

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Domestic Public Companies
7.2.1. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: overview
7.2.2. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: defense products
7.2.3. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: alliances
7.2.5. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Astillero Río Santiago: overview
7.2.7. Astillero Río Santiago: products and services
7.2.8. Astillero Río Santiago: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Astillero Río Santiago: alliances
7.2.10. Citedef: overview
7.2.11. Citedef: products and services
7.2.12. Citedef: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.13. Tandanor: overview
7.2.14. Tandanor: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15. Tandanor: recent contract wins
7.2.16. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: overview
7.2.17. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: defense products
7.2.18. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: alliances
7.2.20. INVAP SE: overview
7.2.21. INVAP SE: defense products
7.2.22. INVAP S.E.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.23. INVAP S.E.: alliances
7.2.24. Nostromo Defensa SA: overview
7.2.25. Nostromo Defensa SA: products and services
7.2.26. Nostromo Defensa SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.27. Nostromo Defensa SA: alliances
7.2.28. Nostromo Defensa SA: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Overall Life expectancy
8.1.4. Number of Households
8.1.5. Unemployment Rate
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2.6. Lending Rate
8.2.7. Real Interest Rate
8.2.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.9. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.10. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.15. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.16. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.8. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.3.10. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air transport, freight
8.4.2. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and Development Expenditure
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
8.7.3. Mobile Cellular Subscriptions
8.7.4. Mobile Cellular Subscriptions Penetration Rate
8.7.5. Fixed Broadband Internet Subscribers

9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List Of Tables

Table 1: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2009-2013
Table 2: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2018
Table 3: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as
Table 4: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as
Table 5: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Table 6: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009-2013
Table 7: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2018
Table 8: Argentine Defense Budget Allocation for Army (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 9: Argentine Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 10: Argentine Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 11: Argentine Defense Function Expenditure Split (%), 2009-2013
Table 12: Argentine Defense Function Expenditure Split (%), 2014-2018
Table 13: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 14: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Table 16: Offset Regulations in Argentina
Table 17: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Product Focus
Table 18: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Alliances
Table 19: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Recent Contract Wins
Table 20: Astillero Río Santiago - Product Focus
Table 21: Astillero Río Santiago - Alliances
Table 22: Citedef - Product Focus
Table 23: Tandanor - Product Focus
Table 24: Tandanor - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares - Product Focus
Table 26: Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares - Alliances
Table 27: INVAP SE - Product Focus
Table 28: INVAP S.E. - Alliances
Table 29: Nostromo Defensa SA - Product Focus
Table 30: Nostromo Defensa SA - Alliances
Table 31: Nostromo Defensa SA - Recent Contract Wins

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 2: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2018
Figure 3: Argentina GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2009-2013
Figure 4: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2018
Figure 5: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Figure 6: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009-2013
Figure 7: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2018
Figure 8: Argentine Defense Budget Allocation split for Army (%), 2009-2013
Figure 9: Argentine Defense Function Expenditure Split (%), 2009-2013
Figure 10: Argentine Defense Function Expenditure Split (%), 2014-2018
Figure 11: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Figure 12: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 13: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2013
Figure 14: SDI Terrorism Index, 2013
Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Figure 16: Benchmarking with World's Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2013 and 2018
Figure 17: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2013
Figure 18: Armored vehicles MRO (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 19: Unmanned Aerial Vehicles MRO (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 20: Argentine Defense Imports (US$ million), 2008-2012
Figure 21: Argentine Defense Imports by country (%), 2008-2012
Figure 22: Argentine defense Imports by Category, 2008-2012
Figure 23: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 24: Argentina Rural Population (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 25: Argentina Urban Population (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 26: Argentina Overall Life Expectancy (Number of years), 2008-2017
Figure 27: Argentina Number of households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 28: Argentina Unemployment rate (%), 2008-2017
Figure 29: Argentina GDP Per Capita, 2008-2017
Figure 30: Argentina GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2008-2017
Figure 31: Argentina Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017
Figure 32: Argentina Wholesale Price Index, 2002-2011
Figure 33: Local Currency per USD, 2008-2017
Figure 34: Lending Rate, 2002-2011
Figure 35: Real Interest Rate, 2004-2013
Figure 36: Argentina Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 37: Argentina Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 38: Argentina Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 39: Argentina Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 40: Argentina Service Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 41: Argentina Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 42: Argentina Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 43: Argentina Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 44: Argentina International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 45: Argentina Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 46: Argentina Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 47: Argentina Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 48: Argentina Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 49: Argentina Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 50: Argentina Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 51: Argentina Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2002-2011
Figure 52: Argentina Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2002-2011
Figure 53: Argentina Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2002-2011
Figure 54: Argentina Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 55: Argentina Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2001-2010
Figure 56: Argentina Overall Construction (US$ Billion), 2007-2016
Figure 57: Argentina Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 58: Argentina Research and Development Expenditure, 2000-2008
Figure 59: Argentina Patents Granted, 2002-2011
Figure 60: Argentina Telephone Lines (In Million), 2001-2010
Figure 61: Argentina Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2001-2010
Figure 62: Argentina Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (In Million), 2002-2011
Figure 63: Argentina Mobile Cellular Subscriptions Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2002-2011
Figure 64: Fixed Broadband Internet subscribers (numbers), 2002-2011

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