France Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 85

BMI View: The overall level of investment in exploration and production in France remains weak and this

trend is unlikely to alter significantly without an end to political opposition to exploration of shale oil and

gas resources. Though downstream margins have benefited from cheaper oil prices, the long-term outlook

for the refining sector in France, and in Europe more widely, remains largely negative.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Political disputes continue to hold back exploration of shale gas and oil, which estimates suggest exist in

sufficient amounts in France to have a material impact on the weak existing outlook for reserves. Modest,

but notable, investment continues toward development of France's coal-bed methane deposits, but

technical and regulatory uncertainty persists, preventing any revision of our forecasts on the back of

activity for now.

- Downstream capacity and production will continue to fall with the 160,000b/d La Mede refinery set to be

converted to a biofuels plant from 2017. Further refinery closures are likely as the European market

continues to realign to competitive pressure and falling demand. Refiners will need to further specialise

to remain competitive and to adapt to the changing conditions in the European refined fuels market.

France Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (France 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil & Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Oil Production (France 2014-2019) 17
Table: Oil Production (France 2020-2025) 18
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Gas Production (France 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (France 2020-2025) 21
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (France 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (France 2020-2025) 26
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2014-2020) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 41
Industry Risk Reward Index 42
North America And Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: North America & Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 43
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe 44
Table: North America & Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 46
Table: North America & Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
France - Risk/Reward Index 49
France Upstream Index - Overview 49
France Upstream Index - Rewards 49
France Upstream Index - Risks 49
France Downstream Index - Overview 50
France Downstream Index - Rewards 50
France Downstream Index - Risks 50
Market Overview 51
France Energy Market Overview 51
Regulatory Structure 51
Main Fiscal & Licensing Terms 53
Table: France Fiscal, Licensing Regime 53
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 55
Oil Refineries 55
Table: France Oil Refineries 55
Oil Storage Facilities 55
Oil Terminals & Ports 55
LNG Terminals 56
Table: France LNG Terminals 56
Gas Storage Terminals 56
Gas Pipelines 56
Latest Gas Pipeline Developments 57
Crude Oil Pipelines 58
Refined Products Pipelines 58
Competitive Landscape 59
Competitive Landscape Summary 59
Table: Key Downstream Players 60
Company Profile 61
Total 61
Table: Major Downstream Assets in France 62
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 62
Engie 63
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 64
Regional Overview 65
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 65
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 74
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 76
Glossary 78
Table: Glossary Of Terms 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Source 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 84
Table: Weighting 85

List of Tables

Table: Headline Forecasts (France 2014-2020)
Table: Oil Production (France 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (France 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Production (France 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (France 2020-2025)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (France 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (France 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2020-2025)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2020-2025)
Table: North America & Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: North America & Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: North America & Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: France Fiscal, Licensing Regime
Table: France Oil Refineries
Table: France LNG Terminals
Table: Key Downstream Players
Table: Major Downstream Assets in France
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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