France Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 67

BMI View: The construction industry should return to growth in 2016, with 0.80% real growth after years

of strong contraction. Nevertheless, growth will remain weak over the next few years as a weak domestic

economic environment and ongoing policy and regulatory uncertainty are undermining investor confidence

and we expect to see limited gains in terms of fixed capital formation.

Forecasts And Latest Updates

? Weaknesses in France's labour market - in terms of unemployment and lack of competitiveness - support

our modest outlook over the country's construction industry.

? Our outlook for the residential and non-residential construction sector in France remains subdued.

Following severe contractions over the past four years, we expect to see modest but positive growth from

2016 onwards. However, annual expansion will remain in the low single digits throughout the forecast

period to 2025, with few catalysts in place for stronger growth.

? Transport infrastructure remains the strongest sector in France's construction market, with annual average

growth of 3.0% expected throughout the forecast period to 2025. Railway and metro projects attract the

majority of the investment in the sector. Notably, construction of the first phase of the EUR25bn

(USD28.42bn) Grand Paris orbital express metro network in France officially started in June 2016.

? France's energy and utilities infrastructure sector is expected to record minimal growth in 2016, and grow

moderately thereafter. We have slightly increased our growth outlook for the sector this quarter on the

back of our Power team's increasingly optimistic view on opportunities within the solar and wind power

sectors. Improved regulatory clarity, strong government support and ambitious targets for nonhydropower

renewable is seeing increased industry uptake prompting us to revise upwards our energy

and utilities growth forecast.

France Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (France 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (France 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Developments 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Key Projects: Transport 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 27
Latest Developments 27
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (France 2015-2025) 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities 33
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 35
Latest Developments 35
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure 38
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
France - Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 40
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards 41
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 49
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: France - Company Financial Data 50
Company Profile 51
Bouygues Group 51
EDF Group 54
VINCI Group 57
Table: VINCI 2015 Key Financial Results Table 59
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

List of Tables

Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (France 2015-2025)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (France 2016)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025)
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025)
Table: Key Projects: Transport
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (France 2015-2025)
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (France 2015-2025)
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: France - Company Financial Data
Table: VINCI 2015 Key Financial Results Table
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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