France Information Technology Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 77

BMI View: Brexit and a terrorist attack in Nice resulted in a small downgrade to the IT spending forecast

for France in the Q4 update. An increase in political and economic uncertainty has weakened already

fragile economic sentiment in France, but we still envisage stronger performance in 2016 compared to

2015 when the extent of euro depreciation against the US dollar was a major drag on the hardware

segment. Looking beyond short-term risk factors, there are opportunities in France if Paris captures a

share of any financial services relocation away from London after Brexit, as well as in specific product

categories such as cloud computing, cyber security and Internet of Things.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? Computer Hardware Sales: EUR16.9bn in 2016 to EUR17.9bn in 2020 with a compound annual

growth rate (CAGR) of 1.5%. An ageing of the desktop and notebook installed base means replacement

spending could be unlocked by vendor innovation and/or an economic upturn, but the core scenario is for

a flat market over the medium term.

? Software Sales: EUR12.5bn in 2016 to EUR14.5bn in 2020 with a CAGR of 3.6%. We see short-term

impact from Brexit, but French economic performance will be important to the market if further

weakness undermines investment in projects by major verticals.

? IT Services Sales: EUR23.9bn in 2016to EUR28.1bn in 2020 with a CAGR of 4.2%. Public sector IT

budget savings initiative will be a squeeze, but we expect this to be offset by wider cloud computing

adoption in France where it is an accelerating market and there is catch-up potential to global leaders

such as the US.

France Information Technology Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates & Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (France 2015-2020) 16
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (France 2013-2020) 17
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: Europe IT Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 19
Market Overview 21
Hardware 21
Software 28
Cloud Computing 33
IT Services 38
Industry Trends And Developments 43
IT Hardware Trade 43
Table: Western Europe IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 43
Table: France IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 44
IT Industry Analysis 45
Table: France IT Hardware Industry Performance, 2009-2014 47
Table: France Software & Services Industry Performance, 2009-2014 48
Regulatory Development 50
Competitive Landscape 55
France IT Vendors 55
EMEA IT Vendor Performance 59
Table: Computer Hardware 60
Table: Software 60
Table: Cloud 61
Table: IT Services 62
Retailers 63
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 63
Table: Selected E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 64
Regional Overview 65
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 71
Methodology 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Sources 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Components 77

List of Tables

Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (France 2015-2020)
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (France 2013-2020)
Table: Europe IT Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Western Europe IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015
Table: France IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015
Table: France IT Hardware Industry Performance, 2009-2014
Table: France Software & Services Industry Performance, 2009-2014
Table: Computer Hardware
Table: Software
Table: Cloud
Table: IT Services
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Table: Selected E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025)
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Components
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