Ethiopia Autos Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 21-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 23

BMI View: Ethiopia will remain one of the smallest new vehicle markets in the SSA region to 2020, limited

by high taxes and weak consumer spending power. The growth of domestic assembly will alleviate some

pressure but not until the latter years of the forecast period.

Key Views

? The new vehicle market will contract in 2016 and 2017 as prohibitively high vehicle import taxes burden

consumers, who already have weak spending power.

? Import reliance in the sector means that the depreciating burr will add to rising costs for both importers

and manufacturers.

? Chinese brands will be well positioned to capitalise when growth returns as they are leading the way in

investment for domestic production.

Ethiopia Autos Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Industry Forecast Scenario 7
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 7
Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 10
Industry Risk/Reward Index 10
Already Low Rewards Fall Further 10
Even The Leaders At Risk 11
The Few Positive Movers 11
Regional Overview 12
Sub-Saharan Africa 12
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 12
Export Importance To South Africa Underlined 13
Nigeria Still Cause For Concern 13
Supplier Parks A Positive Move 13
Demographic Forecast 15
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 16
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 16
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 17
Table: Population By Age Group (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 17
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 18
Methodology 20
Industry Forecasts 20
Sector-Specific Methodology 21
Sources 21
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 22
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 23

List of Tables

Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ethiopia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ethiopia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ethiopia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ethiopia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ethiopia 1990-2025)
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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