El Salvador and Nicaragua Freight Transport and Shipping Report 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 48

BMI View: El Salvador's trade growth will see a moderate slowdown in 2016, but this will not be sufficient

to weigh overly heavily on the freight transport sector. In 2017, we anticipate that growth will strengthen,

in large part driven by US consumer demand - growth in exports will outweigh imports over the coming

years. In Nicaragua, a robust expansion is expected in Nicaraguan trade volumes in 2016 and 2017, driven

by a robust real GDP growth outlook. Imports related to major projects will see imports far outweigh

exports, and this will support future growth in the freight transport sector. The biggest of these is the plan

to build a new canal through the country, linking the two oceans.

Key Updates And Forecasts

? El Salvador's trade growth will see a moderate slowdown in 2016 but in 2017 we anticipate that growth

will strengthen, in large part driven by US consumer demand. Robust expansion is expected in

Nicaraguan trade volumes in 2016 and 2017, driven by a robust real GDP growth outlook. Total trade

will enjoy real growth of 2.4% in El Salvador and 3.9% in Nicaragua for the full 2016-year.

? Road haulage volumes in El Salvador will expand slowly but steadily over the next several years. The

sector will benefit from a generally positive outlook for trade, bolstered by US demand for manufactured

goods from the country and supported by low petrol prices. Growth in road haulage volumes in

Nicaragua will slow in 2016 following a strong expansion in 2015. Road freight volumes will expand by

1.2% in El Salvador and 1.4% in Nicaragua. This will result in volumes of 7.0mn tonnes and 6.6mn

tonnes respectively.

? Growth in air freight volumes in El Salvador will be brought about by strong consumer dynamics. Air

freight volumes in Nicaragua will also enjoy steady but sedate growth over the coming years. Air freight

volumes in El Salvador will expand by 3.5% to 27,133 tonnes. In Nicaragua volume growth will be 1.4%,

to 24,255 tonnes.

El Salvador and Nicaragua Freight Transport and Shipping Report 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
El Salvador Freight Transport SWOT 8
Nicaragua Freight Transport SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
El Salvador Trade Forecast 10
Table: Trade Overview (El Salvador 2013-2020) 12
Table: Key Trade Indicators (El Salvador 2013-2020) 12
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 13
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 14
El Salvador Road Freight Forecast 15
Table: Road Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020) 17
El Salvador Air Freight Forecast 18
Table: Air Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020) 19
Nicaragua Trade Forecast 20
Table: Trade Overview (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 23
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 24
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 25
Nicaragua Road Freight Forecast 26
Table: Road Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 27
Nicaragua Air Freight Forecast 28
Table: Air Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 30
Market Overview 31
El Salvador Market Overview 31
Nicaragua Market Overview 33
Demographic Forecast 35
Demographic Outlook 35
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025) 36
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025) 36
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025) 37
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025) 37
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025) 38
Demographic Outlook 40
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 41
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 41
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Sources 48

List of Tables

Table: Trade Overview (El Salvador 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (El Salvador 2013-2020)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Road Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020)
Table: Trade Overview (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Road Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
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