Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 80

BMI View: Development delays at the Hejre field and the accompanying forecast change will see Denmark

become a crude net importer throughout the forecast period. While its status as a gas net exporter is

maintained at the moment, we highlight strong downside risk to gas production and exports after Maersk

Oil expressed the possibility of closing the Tyra East and Tyra West fields by 2018.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

? The seventh licensing round was launched in April 2014, and licenses were finally awarded in April

2016. Sixteen oil and gas licenses were awarded to 12 companies. Nevertheless, oil and gas reserves are

depleting for this small mature North Sea producer and we do not expect the country to significantly

reverse this trend. The strong decline in oil prices and our expectation of a lower price environment over

the coming years temper this upside risk.

? We have downgraded Denmark's oil production forecast from 2017 onwards on the back of new delays to

the Hejre field development. While we temporarily have the field starting up in 2018 as opposed to our

previous forecast of 2017, we highlight downside risk to this new forecast given no new development

option has been identified at the time of writing

Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Denmark 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil & Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Denmark Major Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 25
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 28
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 28
Refined Fuels Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Denmark 2014-2019) 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Denmark 2020-2025) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Forecast 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 40
Industry Risk Reward Index 41
North America And Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: North America & Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 42
North America Open To Investment, At The Right Price 42
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe 43
Table: North America & Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 45
Table: North America & Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Denmark - Risk/Reward Index 48
Upstream Index 48
Downstream Index 49
Market Overview 50
Denmark Energy Market Overview 50
Fiscal Regime 51
Table: Denmark - Upstream Tax Regime 51
Licensing Regime 51
Licensing Rounds 52
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 53
Oil Refineries 53
Table: Refineries In Denmark 53
Service Stations 53
Oil Storage Facilities 54
Oil Pipelines/Terminals 54
LNG Terminals 54
Gas Storage Facilities 55
Gas Pipelines 56
Competitive Landscape 57
Table: Key Players - Danish Oil And Gas Sector 57
Table: Key Upstream Players 57
Table: Key Downstream Players 57
Company Profile 58
DONG Energy 58
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Denmark 59
Table: Key Financial Data (DKKmn) 59
Regional Overview 60
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 60
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 69
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 71
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Terms 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Source 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 79
Table: Weighting 80

List of Tables

Table: Headline Forecasts (Denmark 2014-2020)
Table: Denmark Major Upstream Projects
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025)
Table: North America & Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: North America & Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: North America & Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Denmark - Upstream Tax Regime
Table: Refineries In Denmark
Table: Key Players - Danish Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Denmark
Table: Key Financial Data (DKKmn)
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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