Costa Rica Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 32

BMI View: Bleak trade dynamics and a lack of significant investment into the sector will hamper all freight

transport modes in Costa Rica over the short to medium term. Road and air freight volumes will expand in

2016 but at a modest rate, with the latter narrowly outpacing the former. Maritime freight will be a notable

exception however, with volumes continuing to accelerate over the medium term, largely as a result of the

Panama Canal expansion and upgrades at the Port of Limon.

Key Updates And Forecasts

? The outlook for Costa Rican trade is bleak, especially over the next few years. We forecast trade volumes

to post real growth of 4.2% in 2016, but slow markedly in 2017 before moving into contractionary

territory. Indeed, trade will be weighed down by a lack of export competitiveness and a dearth of

significant investment into the country. This is set to negatively affect freight volumes and consumer

demand.

? Road freight volumes will grow by 2.1% in 2016 to reach 14.3mn tonnes. Growth over the medium term

will average 2.5% to reach 15.83mn tonnes by 2020. We do not expect to see a strong improvement in

road freight growth over the medium term as below-average real GDP growth and the weak outlook for

agricultural production will weigh on growth.

? Air freight tonnage is forecast to grow by 3.2% in 2016, and to average 3.5% over the medium term. The

outlook for the country's air freight sector remains heavily tied in to its courier, delivery and technology

sectors. We expect steady expansion in volumes transported by air, boosted by the introduction of several

new services and routes by various airlines over 2016. However, the weak trade outlook will serve to

curtail demand and provide headwinds to sector growth.

Costa Rica Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 8
Trade Forecast 8
Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 10
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 10
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 11
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 12
Road Freight Forecast 13
Table: Road Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 15
Air Freight Forecast 16
Table: Air Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 18
Shipping Forecast 19
Ocean Shipping 19
Table: Major Ports (Costa Rica 2014-2020) 21
Market Overview 22
Demographic Forecast 24
Demographic Outlook 24
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 25
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 25
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 26
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 26
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 27
Methodology 29
Industry Forecast Methodology 29
Sector-Specific Methodology 30
Sources 32

List of Tables

Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2013-2020)
Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Costa Rica 2013-2020)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Road Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020)
Table: Major Ports (Costa Rica 2014-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
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