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Construction in Tunisia - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

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Date: 23-Apr-2018
No. of pages: 41
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Synopsis

Construction activity in Tunisia was weak in 2017 due to a depressed economic environment, political instability, low oil prices and declining government reserves. Moreover, the depreciation of the Tunisian dinar against the US dollar also attributed to the decline. Limited business confidence and ongoing security issues therefore had a negative impact on the economy, including the construction industry; consequently, the construction industry contracted by 0.7% in 2017 in real terms.

Over the forecast period (2018-2022), the industry is expected to pick up pace supported by investments in public infrastructure, residential and renewable energy projects. Government flagship programs such as Tunisia 2020, the five-year development plan, and Renewable Energy Action Plan 2030 are expected to add momentum to the industry’s growth.

In addition, significant financial assistance from international organizations such as the World Bank and the European Investment Bank are expected to support the industry’s expansion over the forecast period.

The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to register a compound annual growth rate of 3.03% over the forecast period, compared to 0.15% during the review period.

Summary

Timetric’s Construction in Tunisia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Tunisian construction industry, including:


  • The Tunisian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Tunisian construction industry

  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.


Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Tunisia. It provides:


  • Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in Tunisia, featuring details of key growth drivers.

  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants


Reasons To Buy


  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using Timetric's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.

  • Formulate and validate strategy using Timetric's critical and actionable insight.

  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


Key Highlights


  • Timetric expects the infrastructure construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with 30.9% of the industry’s total value in 2022. Under the Infrastructure Development Pan for 2016-2020, the government plans to invest TND8.3 billion (US$3.9 billion) on the development of road infrastructure across the country.  

  • Under the Tunisia 2020 national five-year development plan, the government plans to develop several large scale projects in the transport, tourism, energy and utilities, education, healthcare, communication, industrial and housing sectors until 2020. The program involves a total budget of TND127.8 billion (US$60.0 billion), of which TND53.3 billion (US$25.0 billion) will be provided by the government.

  • The government’s focus on renewable energy infrastructure is expected to drive the growth of the energy and utilities construction market over the forecast period. Under the Renewable Energy Action Plan 2030, the government plans to install 1.0GW of renewable energy infrastructure during 2018-2020, and 1.3GW of renewable power plants during 2021-2030.

  • Timetric expects the residential construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 5.93% in nominal terms, driven by government plans to provide affordable housing. In January 2018, the government announced plans to provide TND170.0 million (US$64.3 million) in financial help to 250,000 families. In addition, under the social housing program, the government plans to build 6,000-10,000 social houses annually until 2020.

  • The total construction project pipeline in Tunisia as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center, including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million, stands at TND112.4 billion (US$46.4 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is heavily skewed to early stage projects, with 82.4% of the pipeline value is being in the pre-planning and planning stages as of April 2018.

Construction in Tunisia - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks
4.1 Economic Performance
4.2 Political Environment
4.3 Demographics
4.4 Risk Profile

5 Construction Outlook
5.1 All Construction
5.1.1 Outlook
5.1.2 Project analytics
5.2 Commercial Construction
5.2.1 Outlook
5.2.2 Project analytics
5.3 Industrial Construction
5.3.1 Outlook
5.3.2 Project analytics
5.4 Infrastructure Construction
5.4.1 Outlook
5.4.2 Project analytics
5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
5.5.1 Outlook
5.5.2 Project analytics
5.6 Institutional Construction
5.6.1 Outlook
5.6.2 Project analytics
5.7 Residential Construction
5.7.1 Outlook
5.7.2 Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants
6.1 Contractors
6.2 Consultants

7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 About Timetric
7.4 About CIC
7.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Tunisia, Key Economic Indicators
Table 2: Tunisia, Construction Output Value (nominal, TND Million)
Table 3: Tunisia, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)
Table 4: Tunisia, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Tunisia, Top Industrial Construction Project by Value
Table 6: Tunisia, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Tunisia, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 8: Tunisia, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Tunisia, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Project by Value
Table 10: Tunisia, Key Contractors
Table 11: Tunisia, Key Consultants
Table 12: Timetric Construction Market Definitions
Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
Figure 2: Tunisia, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (TND Million)
Figure 3: Tunisia, Construction value add (TND, Million )
Figure 4: Tunisia, Risk Comparison, Q1 2018
Figure 5: Tunisia, Risk Comparison Review
Figure 6: Tunisia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ million, 2017 prices and exchange rate)
Figure 7: Tunisia, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
Figure 8: Tunisia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 9: Tunisia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million), 2017–2022
Figure 10: Tunisia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 11: Tunisia, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 12: Tunisia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 13: Tunisia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 14: Tunisia, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 15: Tunisia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 16: Tunisia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 17: Tunisia, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 18: Tunisia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 19: Tunisia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 20: Tunisia, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 21: Tunisia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 22: Tunisia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 23: Tunisia, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 24: Tunisia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 25: Tunisia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 26: Tunisia, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (TND Million), 2013–2022
Figure 27: Tunisia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 28: Tunisia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (TND Million)
Figure 29: Tunisia, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 30: Tunisia, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
Figure 31: Tunisia, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 32: Tunisia, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

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