Construction in the UK - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2020

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Date: 11-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 94
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Synopsis

There is still a great deal of uncertainty on the full implications of the UK's exit from the European Union (EU) on the construction industry, but the view of Timetric's Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) is that there are major downside risks to growth, with little or no upside during the early part of the forecast period (2016-2020).

In June 2016, the UK held a referendum and decided to leave the EU. It means the UK will be the first member country to do so. The move is expected to lead to an economic slowdown in the UK accompanied by a fall in the value of its currency.

Timetric expects the UK's construction industry to suffer a contraction in output value in 2016 in real terms (constant prices). This reflects both weakness in the industry in the first half of the year ahead of the Brexit referendum, and the expected slowdown in the second half as investment plans are put on hold during economic uncertainty.

However, the construction industry is expected to recover by the end of forecast period. Nevertheless, the pace of growth will remain sluggish in the latter part of the forecast period (2018-2020), averaging 1.7% a year in real terms.

The industry is expected to register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.82% over the forecast period in real terms, compared to 1.39% during the review period (2011-2015).

Although the real outlook for the UK's construction industry is expected to be weak, there will be some support from investment in residential, infrastructure and institutional building projects.

Flagship government programs such as the National Infrastructure Plan (NIP), Priority School Building Program (PSBP) and National Health Service (NHS) program are expected to support industry growth. The government's plan to construct affordable homes for the low-income population, a renovation program for old school buildings and the replacement of aging infrastructure will also provide some support.

Summary

Timetric's Construction in the UK - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2020 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the UK construction industry including:


  • The UK construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

  • Analysis of equipment, material and service costs for each project type in the UK

  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, and the risks and opportunities they present to participants in the UK construction industry

  • Profiles of the leading operators in the UK construction industry

  • Data highlights of the largest construction projects in the UK


Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in the UK It provides:


  • Historical (2011-2015) and forecast (2016-2020) valuations of the construction industry in the UK using construction output and value-add methods

  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by project type

  • Breakdown of values within each project type, by type of activity (new construction, repair and maintenance, refurbishment and demolition) and by type of cost (materials, equipment and services)

  • Analysis of key construction industry issues, including regulation, cost management, funding and pricing

  • Detailed profiles of the leading construction companies in the UK


Reasons To Buy


  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using Timetric's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.

  • Formulate and validate strategy using Timetric's critical and actionable insight.

  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


Key Highlights


  • With an aim to replace aging and inefficient energy infrastructure, the government is focusing on the development of new electricity infrastructure projects across the country. According to the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC), 20% of the current total electricity generation capacity in the country will be closed by 2020, while demand for electricity is expected to double by 2050. Accordingly, to meet the growing energy demand, the government is planning to invest GBP65.0 billion (US$107.0 billion) to improve electricity infrastructure by 2021.

  • To modernize the country's rail network, the government is focusing more on rail infrastructure under the NIP 2014-2019. Under this program, the government has allocated GBP38.0 billion (US$62.5 billion) to enhance the rail network connectivity and capacity across the country by 2019.

  • The government is making efforts to increase the funding for the implementation of the affordable housing program. As a part of the move, the government announced buy-to-let stamp duty surcharges in November 2015, effective from April 2016. The new law imposes an additional 3.0% on the existing stamp duty land tax. The government is planning to utilize a proportion of the additional tax collection to double its budget allocation towards the affordable housing plan.

  • The implementation of Brexit is expected to benefit the country in financial budgetary terms. According to the EU, each member country is entitled to pay an annual membership fee, which will be accumulated in the central EU budget. Accordingly, the UK makes a net contribution of GBP7.1 billion (US$11.1 billion) to the EU annually. Supporters who voted in favor of Brexit propose the government to utilize this amount for the implementation of any national flagship program such as NHS that would benefit the country's population.

  • The UK's construction industry is currently reliant on foreign labor from within the EU, owing to insufficient numbers of new and existing skilled domestic workers. Ahead of the referendum, the Chartered Institute of Building warned that tight regulations of migration would damage construction activity in the UK. Reduced access to skilled workers from the EU could exacerbate the skills shortage, potentially delaying projects and increasing labour costs.

Construction in the UK - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2020

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Industry Outlook
2.1 Commercial Construction
2.2 Industrial Construction
2.3 Infrastructure Construction
2.4 Energy and Utilities Construction
2.5 Institutional Construction
2.6 Residential Construction

3 Key Issues and Developments

4 Market Data Analysis
4.1 Construction Output and Value Add
4.1.1 Construction output by project type
4.1.2 Construction output by cost type
4.1.3 Construction output by activity type
4.1.4 Construction value add by project type
4.2 Commercial Construction
4.2.1 Commercial construction output by project type
4.2.2 Commercial construction output by cost type
4.2.3 Commercial construction output by activity type
4.2.4 Commercial construction value add by project type
4.3 Industrial Construction
4.3.1 Industrial construction output by project type
4.3.2 Industrial construction output by cost type
4.3.3 Industrial construction output by activity type
4.3.4 Industrial construction value add by project type
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
4.4.1 Infrastructure construction output by project type
4.4.2 Infrastructure construction output by cost type
4.4.3 Infrastructure construction output by activity type
4.4.4 Infrastructure construction value add by project type
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
4.5.1 Energy and utilities construction output by project type
4.5.2 Energy and utilities construction output by cost type
4.5.3 Energy and utilities construction output by activity type
4.5.4 Energy and utilities construction value add by project type
4.6 Institutional Construction
4.6.1 Institutional construction output by project type
4.6.2 Institutional construction output by cost type
4.6.3 Institutional construction output by activity type
4.6.4 Institutional construction value add by project type
4.7 Residential Construction
4.7.1 Residential construction output by project type
4.7.2 Residential construction output by cost type
4.7.3 Residential construction output by activity type
4.7.4 Residential construction value add by project type

5 Company Profile: Balfour Beatty Plc
5.1 Balfour Beatty Plc - Company Overview
5.2 Balfour Beatty Plc - Business Description
5.3 Balfour Beatty Plc - Main Services
5.4 Balfour Beatty Plc - History
5.5 Balfour Beatty Plc - Company Information
5.5.1 Balfour Beatty Plc - key competitors
5.5.2 Balfour Beatty Plc - key employees

6 Company Profile: Network Rail Ltd
6.1 Network Rail Ltd - Company Overview
6.2 Network Rail Ltd - Business Description
6.3 Network Rail Ltd - Main Services
6.4 Network Rail Ltd - History
6.5 Network Rail Ltd - Company Information
6.5.1 Network Rail Ltd - key competitors
6.5.2 Network Rail Ltd - key employees

7 Company Profile: Kier Group Plc
7.1 Kier Group Plc - Company Overview
7.2 Kier Group Plc - Business Description
7.3 Kier Group Plc - Main Services
7.4 Kier Group Plc - History
7.5 Kier Group Plc - Company Information
7.5.1 Kier Group Plc - key competitors
7.5.2 Kier Group Plc - key employees

8 Company Profile: Barratt Developments Plc
8.1 Barratt Developments Plc - Company Overview
8.2 Barratt Developments Plc - Business Description
8.3 Barratt Developments Plc - Main Services
8.4 Barratt Developments Plc - History
8.5 Barratt Developments Plc - Company Information
8.5.1 Barratt Developments Plc - key competitors
8.5.2 Barratt Developments Plc - key employees

9 Company Profile: Persimmon Plc
9.1 Persimmon Plc - Company Overview
9.2 Persimmon Plc - Business Description
9.3 Persimmon Plc - Main Products and Services
9.4 Persimmon Plc - History
9.5 Persimmon Plc - Company Information
9.5.1 Persimmon Plc - key competitors
9.5.2 Persimmon Plc - key employees

10 Appendix
10.1 What is this Report About?
10.2 Definitions
10.3 Methodology
10.4 Contact Timetric
10.5 About Timetric
10.6 Timetric's Services
10.7 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: UK Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 2: UK Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 3: UK Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 4: UK Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 5: UK Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 6: UK Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 7: UK Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 8: UK Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 9: UK Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 10: UK Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 11: UK Commercial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 12: UK Commercial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 13: UK Commercial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 14: UK Commercial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 15: UK Commercial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 16: UK Commercial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 17: UK Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 18: UK Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 19: UK Industrial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 20: UK Industrial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 21: UK Industrial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 22: UK Industrial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 23: UK Industrial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 24: UK Industrial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 25: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 26: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 27: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 28: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 29: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 30: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 31: UK Infrastructure Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 32: UK Infrastructure Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 33: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 34: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 35: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 36: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 37: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 38: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 39: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 40: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 41: UK Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 42: UK Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 43: UK Institutional Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 44: UK Institutional Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 45: UK Institutional Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 46: UK Institutional Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 47: UK Institutional Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 48: UK Institutional Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 49: UK Residential Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 50: UK Residential Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 51: UK Residential Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 52: UK Residential Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 53: UK Residential Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 54: UK Residential Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 55: UK Residential Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2015
Table 56: UK Residential Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2015-2020
Table 57: Balfour Beatty Plc, Key Facts
Table 58: Balfour Beatty Plc, Main Services
Table 59: Balfour Beatty Plc, History
Table 60: Balfour Beatty Plc, Key Employees
Table 61: Network Rail Ltd, Key Facts
Table 62: Network Rail Ltd, Main Services
Table 63: Network Rail Ltd, History
Table 64: Network Rail Ltd, Key Employees
Table 65: Kier Group Plc, Key Facts
Table 66: Kier Group Plc, Main Services
Table 67: Kier Group Plc, History
Table 68: Kier Group Plc, Key Employees
Table 69: Barratt Developments Plc, Key Facts
Table 70: Barratt Developments Plc, Main Services
Table 71: Barratt Developments Plc, History
Table 72: Barratt Developments Plc, Key Employees
Table 73: Persimmon Plc, Key Facts
Table 74: Persimmon Plc, Main Products and Services
Table 75: Persimmon Plc, History
Table 76: Persimmon Plc, Key Employees
Table 77: Timetric Construction Market Definitions

List of Figures

Figure 1: UK Construction Output (Real US$ 2010, Million), 2011-2020
Figure 2: Growth Matrix for Construction Output in the UK (US$ Million), 2011-2020
Figure 3: UK Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 4: UK Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 5: UK Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 6: UK Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 7: UK Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 8: UK Commercial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 9: UK Commercial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 10: UK Commercial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 11: UK Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 12: UK Industrial Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 13: UK Industrial Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 14: UK Industrial Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 15: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 16: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 17: UK Infrastructure Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 18: UK Infrastructure Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 19: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 20: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 21: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 22: UK Energy and Utilities Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 23: UK Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 24: UK Institutional Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 25: UK Institutional Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 26: UK Institutional Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 27: UK Residential Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 28: UK Residential Construction Output by Cost Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 29: UK Residential Construction Output by Activity Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020
Figure 30: UK Residential Construction Value Add by Project Type (GBP Million), 2011-2020

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