Construction in Germany - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

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Date: 03-Jul-2018
No. of pages: 43
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Construction in Germany - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

Summary

GlobalData's "Construction in Germany - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022", report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the German construction industry

Germany's construction industry regained growth momentum in 2017, with output expanding by 2.3% in real terms - up from 1.9% in 2016. Growth during the review period (2013-2017) averaged 0.9% a year, and was supported by improvements in both regional economic conditions and business confidence. Additionally, the government's investments in transport, residential and energy infrastructure projects, through the implementation of flagship programs such as Federal Transport Infrastructure Plan (FTIP) 2030 and Energiewende, supported the industry's expansion.

The industry's performance is expected to remain stable over the forecast period (2018-2022), as infrastructure development in the country has already attained a mature stage. Strong domestic demand and improving private consumption are expected to support the industry over the forecast period. Ongoing efforts by the government to upgrade the country's transport infrastructure on the back of the growing population and growth in the manufacturing, retail and tourism sectors are expected to add some momentum to the industry's expansion over the forecast period.

The industry's output value in real terms is expected to record a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.86% over the forecast period, compared to 1.77% during the review period.

The report provides -

- The German construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the German construction industry

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Key Highlights

- GlobalData expects the residential construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 45.5% of the industry's total value in 2022. Over the forecast period, market growth is expected to be supported by the government's effort to address the country's housing shortage. According to estimates of the Berlin city government, over 194,000 housing units need to be constructed in the city by 2030, so as to keep pace with the growing demand.

- The government's focus on enhancing broadband connectivity in the country is expected to support the expansion of the telecommunications infrastructure category over the forecast period. In 2017, the government announced plans to invest EUR4.0 billion (US$4.5 billion) until 2020 to equip internet networks across the country with a minimum speed of up to 50.0mbps.

- GlobalData expects infrastructure construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 7.21% in nominal terms, supported by the government's large-scale investments under the FTIP 2030, which was launched in August 2016. Under this, the government announced plans to invest EUR269.6 billion (US$298.1 billion) between 2017 and 2030 to develop over 1,000 transport infrastructure projects in the country by 2030.

- In line with its target to increase renewable energy production by 2035, in September 2017 the Federal Agency for Marine Transport and Hydrographic Agency announced plans to develop an offshore wind farm project in Borkum with a total installed capacity of 480.0MW. With a total investment of EUR886.7 million (US$1.0 billion), the project includes the construction of substations, power houses and switch rooms, and the installation of 80 turbines, transformers and generators. The project is expected to be completed in 2021.

- The total construction project pipeline in Germany - as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million - stands at EUR263.3 billion (US$296.9 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed to late-stage projects, with 71.8% of the pipeline value being projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of June 2018.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Germany. It provides -

- Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in Germany, featuring details of key growth drivers.

- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.

Reasons to buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

- Understand the latest industry and market trends.

- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.

- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Construction in Germany - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance
3 Latest News and Indicators
4 Key Drivers and Risks
4.1 Economic Performance
4.2 Political Environment
4.3 Demographics
4.4 Risk Profile
5 Construction Outlook
5.1 All Construction
5.1.1 Outlook
5.1.2 Project analytics
5.2 Commercial Construction
5.2.1 Outlook
5.2.2 Project analytics
5.3 Industrial Construction
5.3.1 Outlook
5.3.2 Project analytics
5.4 Infrastructure Construction
5.4.1 Outlook
5.4.2 Project analytics
5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
5.5.1 Outlook
5.5.2 Project analytics
5.6 Institutional Construction
5.6.1 Outlook
5.6.2 Project analytics
5.7 Residential Construction
5.7.1 Outlook
5.7.2 Project analytics
6 Key Industry Participants
6.1 Contractors
6.2 Consultants
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 About GlobalData
7.4 About The Construction Intelligence Center
7.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Germany, Key Economic Indicators
Table 2: Germany, Construction Output Value (nominal, EUR Million)
Table 3: Germany, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)
Table 4: Germany, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Germany, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 6: Germany, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Germany, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 8: Germany, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Germany, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value
Table 10: Germany, Key Contractors
Table 11: Germany, Key Consultants
Table 12: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of Figures
Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
Figure 2: Germany, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (EUR Million)
Figure 3: Germany, Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Construction (EUR Billion)
Figure 4: Germany, Total Value of New Orders for Housing Construction (EUR Million)
Figure 5: Germany, House Price Index
Figure 6: Germany, Risk Comparison, Q2 2018
Figure 7: Germany, Risk Comparison Review
Figure 8: Germany, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)
Figure 9: Germany, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
Figure 10: Germany, Construction Output Value, by Sector (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 11: Germany, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million), 2017-2022
Figure 12: Germany, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 13: Germany, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 14: Germany, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 15: Germany, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 16: Germany, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 17: Germany, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 18: Germany, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 19: Germany, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 20: Germany, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 21: Germany, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 22: Germany, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 23: Germany, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 24: Germany, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 25: Germany, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 26: Germany, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 27: Germany, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 28: Germany, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (EUR Million), 2013-2022
Figure 29: Germany, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 30: Germany, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (EUR Million)
Figure 31: Germany, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 32: Germany, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
Figure 33: Germany, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 34: Germany, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)
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