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Construction in Algeria - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023
In real terms, the Algerian construction industry's output grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.78% during the review period (2014-2018). Although output growth slowed marginally in 2017 and 2018 due to austerity measures implemented by the government and low oil prices, the general upward trend can be attributed to public and private sector investment in infrastructure, residential and energy construction projects.
Over the forecast period (2019-2023), the industry's expansion will be supported by improvements in consumer and investor confidence, as well as positive developments in regional economic conditions. The government's efforts to enhance regional connectivity through the development of the country's rail and port infrastructure, coupled with efforts to boost the residential construction market, will support the industry's growth over the forecast period. In addition, the government's aim to expand renewable energy resources is expected to attract investments in energy infrastructure projects, which will in turn fuel growth in the industry.
The Algerian economy is heavily dependent on revenues from oil exports. Consequently, the government is gradually taking measures to diversify the economy in order to reduce its dependence on the oil sector; this will create growth opportunities for the construction industry over the forecast period. In real terms, the industry's output value is forecast to rise at a CAGR of 4.64% over the forecast period.
GlobalData's "Construction in Algeria - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023", report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Algerian construction industry, including -
- The Algerian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Algerian construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
- GlobalData expects the residential construction market to account for 38.8% of the industry's total value in 2023, driven by government's focus on affordable houses to meet the housing needs of middle- and low-income families. The government is focusing on the development of affordable houses in the country through affordable housing programs such as Public Rental Housing, the Rural Housing Program, the Agence de l'Amélioration et du Développement du Logement (AADL) lease-to own program and the Assisted Housing Program.
- Infrastructure construction market's forecast-period growth will be driven by the government's focus on the development of transport infrastructure with an aim to increase trade activity and transform country into business and commerce hub in the Mediterranean basin region. In the 2018 budget, the government increased its allocation towards the Ministry of Transport and Public Works from DZD62.7 billion (US$565.0 million) in 2017 to DZD380.8 billion (US$3.4 billion) in 2018; through this, the government aims to develop the country's transport infrastructure.
- GlobalData expects the energy and utilities construction market to register a forecast-period CAGR of 7.07% in nominal terms, driven by the government's plan to increase the country's natural gas and oil production capacity. It plans to invest DZD1.0 trillion (US$9.0 billion) during the period of 2017-2021 to increase the production capacity of natural gas and oil. In September 2018, the government announced plans to invest DZD32.6 billion (US$280 million) to build 197km of a new natural gas pipeline with a capacity of 4.5 billion cubic meters annually by 2020. Furthermore, in August 2018, the government awarded a tender to Petrofac worth DZD69.8 billion (US$600 million) to build 400km of a new pipeline to connect 36 oil wells in the country.
- Forecast-period growth in the commercial construction market will be driven by improvements in consumer and investor confidence, an increase in public and private sector investments in the construction of new commercial buildings and an increase in the country's retail turnover. The government aims to enhance the tourism sector in the country through the National Tourism Development plan, under which it intends to increase the number of foreign tourist arrivals in the country from 2.7 million in 2017 to 4.4 million by 2027. The government plans to increase the accommodation capacity by building new hotels, increasing the number of hotel rooms from 100,000 in 2017 to 240,000 by 2027.
- The total construction project pipeline in Algeria - as tracked by GlobalData, and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million - stands at DZD16.3 trillion (US$140.3 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed towards late-stage projects, with 76.6% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of April 2019.
- This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Algerian.
- Historical (2014-2018) and forecast (2019-2023) valuations of the construction industry in Algeria, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.
Reasons to buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.