Colombia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 90

BMI View: Colombia's agribusiness sector is being held back by a number of deep structural challenges

including the lingering consequences of internal armed conflict, structural inefficiencies, low

competitiveness and poor policy choices. As a result, area cultivated and yields have stagnated over the

past decade. However, after several decades of disappointing growth in Colombia's agribusiness sector, the

outlook for production and exports is brightening. The efforts made to resolve the conflict, coupled with the

potential for upcoming agricultural reforms, have paved the way for the revival of Colombia's agribusiness.

The coffee, fruits, sugar, palm oil and horticulture sectors offer the best opportunities. Colombian

agriculture enjoys a large diversity thanks to abundant natural resources and diverse climates and

topography. Although FTAs may undermine the livestock and dairy sectors, they also provide Colombia

with large export markets. The US and EU, which are the main markets for Colombian agricultural

products, will see their imports grow in the coming years with the decrease in tariffs.

Key Forecasts

? Palm oil production growth to 2019/20: 46.7% to 1.9mn bags. The palm oil sector will continue to

grow at a fast pace, as plantation expansion will be helped by the ongoing pacification of the country and

the government's Plan Siembra.

? Corn consumption growth to 2020: 18.0% to 7.1mn tonnes. Corn consumption will expand at a faster

pace than production over the medium term, boosted by the growth in the livestock sector, especially in

the poultry segment. The domestic corn deficit will reach 4.75mn tonnes by 2018/19, compared with

3.95mn tonnes in 2013/14.

Colombia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Colombia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Colombia - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Colombia - Select Grains Production & Consumption, 2013-2020f 17
Sugar Outlook 18
Table: Colombia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Colombia - Risks To Sugar Outlook 19
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 23
Coffee Outlook 24
Table: Colombia - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Colombia - Risks To Coffee Outlook 25
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 29
Cocoa Outlook 30
Table: Colombia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Colombia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook 30
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 32
Dairy Outlook 33
Table: Colombia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 33
Table: Colombia - Risks To Dairy Outlook 34
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 37
Livestock Outlook 38
Table: Colombia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 38
Table: Colombia - Risks To Livestock Outlook 39
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Colombia 2014-2020) 41
Commodities Price Analysis 42
Commodities Price Forecasts 42
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 42
Featured Analysis 44
New Agricultural Plan Confirms Promising Outlook 44
Table: Agricultural Production & Consumption (Colombia, 2013-2020f) 48
Upstream Analysis 49
Americas GM Outlook 49
Americas Machinery Outlook 57
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 60
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 64
Downstream Analysis 71
Food 71
Latest Updates 71
Structural Trends 72
Table: Food Sales (Colombia 2013-2020) 74
Regional Overview 77
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Key Agribusiness Players 83
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025) 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025) 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025) 87
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sector-Specific Methodology 90

List of Tables

Table: Colombia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Grains Outlook
Table: Colombia - Select Grains Production & Consumption, 2013-2020f
Table: Colombia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)
Table: Colombia - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Coffee Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)
Table: Colombia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)
Table: Colombia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Dairy Outlook
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)
Table: Colombia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Colombia - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Colombia 2014-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Table: Agricultural Production & Consumption (Colombia, 2013-2020f)
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Table: Food Sales (Colombia 2013-2020)
Table: Key Agribusiness Players
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025)
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