Cameroon Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 67

BMI View: We have not made significant revisions to our forecast outlook in this Q4 2016 quarterly

update. We hold the view that cocoa remains Cameroon's most important cash crop. We hold a positive

view on the country's cocoa production as it has ample room for growth and an increasingly stable access

to export markets. Over the remainder of our forecast period to 2019/20, we believe improved production

techniques will give cocoa farmers new opportunities to sell greater quantities of beans on international

markets. More broadly, we see growth in the production and consumption of all key soft commodities in

Cameroon, including sugar and coffee. Increasing government support will help to maintain investment and

growth in these crops.

Latest Updates

? Corn production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 9.4% to 1.75mn tonnes. Corn is Cameroon's most

significant grain crop and a major food staple in the country. Production will continue to see growth out

to 2020 on the back of increased investment, relatively high prices and the growing use of improved

seeds.

? Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 14.2% to 265,000 tonnes. Cocoa is the most important

cash crop in Cameroon, the world's fifth largest producer. We hold a bullish view on the country's cocoa

production as it has ample room for growth and an increasingly stable access to export markets.

Meanwhile, we expect household demand for cocoa to increase consistently over our forecast period.

? 2016 real GDP growth: 5.3% (down from 5.7% in 2015).

Cameroon Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates 7
Structural Trends 8
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Cocoa Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Cameroon - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 15
Coffee Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Cameroon - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 19
Sugar Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Cameroon - Sugar & Production Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 24
Grains Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Cameroon - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 28
Commodity Strategy 29
Commodities Forecasts 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 29
Upstream Analysis 31
Africa Machinery Outlook 31
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 31
Africa GM Outlook 37
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 44
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 51
Table: Food Sales (Cameroon 2013-2020) 52
Regional Overview 55
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview 55
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cameroon 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cameroon 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Cameroon 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Cameroon 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cameroon 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67

List of Tables

Table: Cameroon - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020)
Table: Cameroon - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020)
Table: Cameroon - Sugar & Production Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020)
Table: Cameroon - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Food Sales (Cameroon 2013-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cameroon 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cameroon 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Cameroon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Cameroon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cameroon 1990-2025)
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