Brazil Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 72

BMI View: We have made some minor downwards revisions to our Brazilian mobile market forecast in the

Q416 report update. The revisions account for the negative growth in 2015 and H116. Furthermore, the

challenging macroeconomic environment and the uncertain political outlook cast a long shadow over all

sectors in Brazil, including telecommunications. Organic subscriber growth in the mobile sector will begin

to taper off and 3G/4G adoption rates remain high, according to latest data from H116. We maintain that

technological adoption will drive the mobile market forward. Nevertheless, ambitious national broadband

expansion initiatives, plans to abolish the legacy geographic wireline concessions system and the auction of

mobile broadband spectrum all depend on political continuity, which hangs in the balance following the

removal of President Roussef in Q316.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Some 23mn mobile users were shed in 2015 and 4.4mn in H116, as operators disconnected inactive

SIM cards. More accurate data will enable operators to plan service and network upgrades more

effectively and lower operating costs. 3G/4G migration will be a growth driver through to 2020, by

which time there will be over 221mn 3G/4G subscribers in the market.

Brazil Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 15
Risk Reward Ratings 16
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Latin America Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 22
Market Drivers & Trends 22
Mobile 23
Table: Vendors Selected For 4G Roll-Outs 29
Wireline Voice & Broadband 31
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Historical Concessionaires 31
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Authorised Operators 32
Table: Wireline Broadband Subscriptions By Operator 33
Pay-TV/Convergence 34
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Provider 36
Regulatory Development 37
Industry Risks 37
Main Development: Regulatory Framework Overhaul 37
Additional Developments 38
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Key Players - Telecoms 39
Table: Key Players - Media Sector 39
Mobile Operator Data 40
Table: Mobile Market Overview 40
Table: Vivo 41
Table: Claro 43
Table: TIM Brasil 44
Table: Oi 45
Table: Nextel do Brasil 46
Company Profile 48
Oi 48
Vivo (Telefônica) 53
TIM Brasil 55
Claro (America Móvil) 58
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 64
Glossary 66
Table: Glossary Of Terms 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sources 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Table: Latin America Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Vendors Selected For 4G Roll-Outs
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Historical Concessionaires
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Authorised Operators
Table: Wireline Broadband Subscriptions By Operator
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Provider
Table: Key Players - Telecoms
Table: Key Players - Media Sector
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Vivo
Table: Claro
Table: TIM Brasil
Table: Oi
Table: Nextel do Brasil
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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