Bangladesh Power Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 48

BMI View: Gas will remain the dominant source of energy for electricity generation in Bangladesh for

much of the foreseeable future. However, if Bangladesh is to stop the acute gas shortages from crimping

economic growth, the country will have to cut its over-reliance on gas-fired capacity and diversify the

energy mix. The government outlined plans to ensure coal accounts for 50% of the energy mix by 2030, but

we remain unconvinced such plans will come to fruition as local opposition to the exploitation of

Bangladesh's huge coal reserves has so far stymied the development of a domestic industry.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? BMI forecasts power generation in Bangladesh at 67.2TWh in 2016, before rising to 70.1TWh in 2017,

an annual growth rate of 4.3%. We estimate this figure will rise to 121.7TWh in 2025, the end of our

forecast period, an average annual growth rate of 7.4%.

? The government's efforts to attract foreign investors into the country appear to have been gaining traction

over the past year. In June 2015, India-based Reliance Power secured a USD1.56bn contract from

Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) to set up a 3GW combined-cycle power project in

Bangladesh. In September 2014, the BPDB signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with

Malaysian state-owned companies Tenaga Nasional and Powertek, to assess the joint development of a

1,320MW coal-fired plant in Maheshkali.

Bangladesh Power Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Bangladesh Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2015-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 9
Table: Bangladesh Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Bangladesh Power Forecast Scenario 10
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecasts 10
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecasts 11
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 18
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 18
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 19
Industry Risk Reward Index 20
Asia Power Risk Reward Index 20
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100) 26
Bangladesh Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 28
Key Policies And Market Structure 28
Regulation And Competition 28
Pricing 28
Bangladesh Power Projects Database 30
Table: Bangladesh Major Projects - Power 30
Competitive Landscape 35
Regional Overview 36
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip 36
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast 40
Glossary 42
Table: Glossary Of Terms 42
Methodology 43
Methodology And Sources 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 46
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 47
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 48

List of Tables

Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2015-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Bangladesh Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025)
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100)
Table: Bangladesh Major Projects - Power
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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