Asia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 69

BMI View: The Asia region will be crucial to global oil demand in the near and long term. Regional gas

demand will strengthen, as more stringent emissions laws amid growing public environmental concerns and

lower LNG prices support its use. Overcapacity in the refining sector will weigh on margins, particularly

for diesel.

Key oil & gas developments in the Asia region include:

- China and India will lead crude oil demand, while gasoline consumption is due to be particularly strong.

- Low oil prices are pushing national oil companies to increase their domestic focus.

- Overcapacity in the refining sector will increasingly damage margins, particularly for diesel.

- The LNG industry is undergoing a dramatic change, with oversupply forcing more flexible contract

lengths and hybrid pricing.

- New LNG export projects will face delay, though LNG import developments will accelerate.

- JKM spot prices will remain weak for at least three years.

Asia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Asia Oil & Gas Production, Consumption & Refining 5
Regional Forecast Analysis 6
Asia - Positive Gas Output Growth In Conflict With Bearish Oil Outlook 6
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 21
Industry Trends 23
Asia - Four LNG Demand Hotspots 23
Asia - Far East LNG Imports To Weaken Through To 2020 28
Asia - Gasoline Market Facing Near-Term Pressure 31
China - Diesel Exports Surge On Flood, Economic Slowdown 35
Global - Petronas: Downstream Expansion Key To Growth 36
Global - PetroChina: Upstream Targets Unachievable 43
Price Forecasts 50
Asia - JKM Prices Set To Tumble 50
Global - Brent: Conventional Declines To Drive 2017 Recovery 51
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl 51
Glossary 62
Table: Glossary Of Terms 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Source 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 68
Table: Weighting 69

List of Tables

Table: Asia Oil & Gas Production, Consumption & Refining
Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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