Angola Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 07-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 36

BMI View: Construction industry growth in Angola will remain sluggish until 2020 as budgetary pressures

weigh on the government's ability to finance infrastructure development. Keeping growth in positive

territory over the short term is China's continued involvement in the sector, notably in residential and

industrial construction and airport infrastructure.

Forecast & Industry Developments

? We continue to forecast subdued construction industry growth of 3.3% in real terms between 2016 and

2019 as the weak commodities outlook limits revenues and the government's ability to finance

infrastructure development. The continued support from China in the form of cheap credit lines and the

increasing involvement of Chinese firms in the residential and non-residential building sectors and

transport infrastructure will be crucial in keeping industry growth in positive territory.

? The outlook for the construction industry will improve from 2020, in line with the expected recovery in

Brent Crude oil prices, which will drive further investment into the oil industry and its associated

infrastructure, and relieve budgetary pressures, allowing for government funding to be funnelled into

construction development. Real growth is projected at 6.8% in 2020.

? Over our full 10-year forecast period between 2016 and 2025 the market will record annual average

growth of 5.3% in real terms.

Angola Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Angola 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2025) 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Risks 18
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 20
Table: SSA RRI 28
Methodology 29
Industry Forecast Methodology 29
Sector-Specific Methodology 30
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 34
Sector-Specific Methodology 35
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 35
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 36

List of Tables

Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Angola 2016)
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2025)
Table: SSA RRI
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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